CAA tournament scenarios

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George Mason has the No. 1 seed in the CAA after beating Northeastern on Thursday.

Towson long ago clinched the No. 12 seed.

Much of everything in between is still to be determined, though most of it isn’t particularly complex.

A rundown with only one weekend of conference games to go.

GEORGE MASON (15-2) – at Georgia State

The Patriots have clinched the No. 1 seed.

OLD DOMINION (13-4) – William and Mary

The Monarchs will be the No. 2 seed with a win; OR a Hofstra loss.

The Monarchs will be the No. 2 seed in the case of a three-way tie at 13-5. Old Dominion and VCU would be 2-1 against a mini-group also including Hofstra, and Old Dominion would trump VCU based on its defeat of George Mason on Jan. 8.

The Monarchs will be the No. 3 seed with a loss AND a Hofstra win.

HOFSTRA (13-4) – Delaware

The Pride will be the No. 2 seed with a win AND an Old Dominion loss.

The Pride will be the No. 3 seed with a win AND an Old Dominion win.

The Pride will be the No. 3 seed with a loss AND a VCU loss.

The Pride will be the No. 4 seed with a loss AND a VCU win; VCU would trump Hofstra based on a Jan. 27 win.

VCU (12-5) – James Madison

The Rams will be the No. 3 seed with a win AND a Hofstra loss.

The Rams will be the No. 4 seed with a loss OR a Hofstra win.

DREXEL (10-7) – at Towson

The Dragons will be the No. 5 seed with a win OR a James Madison loss.

The Dragons will be the No. 6 seed with a loss AND a James Madison win; the Dukes swept the season series from Drexel and would hold the head-to-head edge at 10-8.

JAMES MADISON (9-8) – at VCU

The Dukes will be the No. 5 seed with a win AND a Drexel loss; James Madison swept the season series from the Dragons and would hold the head-to-head edge at 10-8.

The Dukes will be the No. 6 seed with a loss OR a Drexel win.

DELAWARE (8-9) – at Hofstra

The Blue Hens will be the No. 7 seed with a win OR a UNC Wilmington loss. Delaware would lose the head-to-head with James Madison based on a Jan. 29 loss to the Dukes.

The Blue Hens will be the No. 8 seed with a loss AND a UNC Wilmington win.

UNC WILMINGTON (7-10) – at Northeastern

The Seahawks will be the No. 7 seed with a win AND a Delaware loss. UNC Wilmington won the lone head-to-head game between the teams on Jan. 12

The Seahawks will be the No. 8 seed with a win AND a Delaware win; or a loss AND a Georgia State loss.

The Seahawks will be the No. 9 seed with a loss AND a Georgia State win

GEORGIA STATE (6-11) – George Mason

The Panthers will be the No. 8 seed with a win AND a UNC Wilmington loss. Georgia State and UNC Wilmington split the season series, but Georgia State’s best win (VCU) will trump UNC Wilmington’s best win (Drexel).

The Panthers will be the No. 9 seed with a loss OR a UNC Wilmington victory.

NORTHEASTERN (5-12) – UNC Wilmington

The Huskies will be the No. 10 seed. It split the regular season series with Georgia State, and both teams split with Virginia Commonwealth for their best wins. However, Georgia State split with James Madison while Northeastern lost the lone meeting to the Dukes.

WILLIAM AND MARY (4-13) – at Old Dominion

The Tribe will be the No. 11 seed; it loses the head-to-head to Northeastern based on the Jan. 24 game.

TOWSON (0-17) – Drexel

The Tigers will be the No. 12 seed.

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