The final two relevant results of the regular season are in the books.
Cornell exploited an illegal stick penalty just before halftime to break open the Ivy League final on the way to a 15-6 rout of Harvard.
And Siena dispatched Detroit 12-3 in the Metro Atlantic final.
That means only minor tweaks to the final at-large board. Three of these teams will be in the tournament (data courtesy of LaxPower):
|School (W-L)||RPI ||SOS ||T5||T10||T20|
|Stony Brook (10-4)||13||39||0-2||0-2||1-2|
|Massachusetts (10-5) ||19||34||0-0||0-0||1-3|
|Loyola (8-5) ||20||35||0-1 ||0-3 ||0-3 |
As mentioned earlier today, Villanova will be hard to leave out. Penn, by virtue of its computer numbers and quality wins, probably won’t be excluded.
Based on everything on the board, Hofstra is the most deserving team remaining. Yes, the Pride’s strength of schedule isn’t appetizing. And they certainly made a mess of things losing in the CAA semifinals.
But here’s the thing: Hofstra beat Colgate and Harvard, arguably the most worthy teams besides the Pride for the final spot. It owns the RPI edge in case the committee once to stick closely to the numbers.
And, it’s worth noting, Hofstra hasn’t done anything to suggest it isn’t a tournament team despite its two setbacks to NCAA-bound Delaware.
Stony Brook lost to Towson. Colgate fell to Binghamton and Vermont. Harvard lost to Dartmouth and Albany. Massachusetts fell to Albany.
So Hofstra is the logical choice to squeeze into this projected field:
(1) Syracuse vs. METRO ATLANTIC/Siena
(8) Maryland vs. PATRIOT/Bucknell
(4) Notre Dame vs. Penn
(5) Duke vs. COLONIAL/Delaware
(3) Johns Hopkins vs. Hofstra
(6) Virginia vs. Villanova
(2) IVY/Cornell vs. AMERICA EAST/Hartford
(7) ECAC/Denver vs. North Carolina
A few notes on this bracket:
* There are no regular season rematches
* There are no conference matchups possible until the final four
* There is one first-time participant in the field (Hartford)
* There are two flights (Penn to Notre Dame and North Carolina to Denver)
* Only three of the first-round matchups have ever occurred in the tournament – Syracuse-Siena (2009), Virginia-Villanova (2009) and Hopkins-Hofstra (1974, 1978, 1999, 2008).