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CAA tournament scenarios

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With one set of games remaining, it’s time for a rundown of the CAA’s seeding scenarios.

The gory details are below, but here’s how the schedule would shake out in the first two days in Richmond:

Friday, March 2

(8 or 9) UNC Wilmington vs. (8 or 9) James Madison or (9) William & Mary, noon
(5) Delaware vs. (12) Towson, 2:30
(7) Northeastern vs. (10) William & Mary or James Madison, 6
(6) Georgia State vs. (11) Hofstra, 8:30

Saturday, March 3

(1) Drexel vs. UNCW/James Madison/William & Mary, noon
(4) Old Dominion vs. Delaware/Towson, 2:30
(2) George Mason/VCU vs. Northeastern/William & Mary/James Madison, 6
(3) George Mason/VCU vs. Georgia State/Hofstra, 8:30 (FIXED to account for prior omission)

DREXEL (15-2, at ODU)

* The Dragons will be the No. 1 seed.

* If tied with either George Mason or Virginia Commonwealth, the Dragons would hold the head-to-head tiebreaker (Jan. 8 vs. VCU, Jan. 12 vs. Mason)

GEORGE MASON (14-3, at VCU)

* The Patriots will be the No. 2 seed with a win over VCU

* The Patriots will be the No. 3 seed with a loss to  VCU

* If tied with Drexel, the Patriots would lose a head-to-head tiebreaker based on a Jan. 12 loss.

* If tied with Old Dominion, the Patriots would win a head-to-head tiebreaker based on a season sweep (Jan. 5 and Feb. 4)

VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH (14-3, vs. Mason)

* The Rams will be the No. 2 seed with a win over George Mason

* The Rams will be the No. 3 seed with a loss to George Mason

* If tied with Drexel, the Rams would lose a head-to-head tiebreaker based on a Jan. 8 loss.

* If tied with Old Dominion, the Rams would win a head-to-head tiebreaker based on a season sweep (Jan. 21 and Feb. 11)

OLD DOMINION (13-4, vs. Drexel)

* The Monarchs will be the No. 4 seed.

* If tied with George Mason, the Monarchs would lose a head-to-head tiebreaker based on a season sweep (Jan. 5 and Feb. 4)

* If tied with Virginia Commonwealth, the Monarchs would lose a head-to-head tiebreaker based on a season sweep (Jan. 21 and Feb. 11)

DELAWARE (11-6, vs. N’eastern)

* The Blue Hens will be the No. 5 seed.

* If tied with Georgia State, the Blue Hens would win the head-to-head tiebreaker based on a season sweep (Jan. 21 and Feb. 11).

GEORGIA STATE (10-7, at W&M)

* The Panthers will be the No. 6 seed.

* If tied with Delaware, the Panthers would lose the head-to-head tiebreaker based on a season sweep (Jan. 21 and Feb. 11).

* If tied with Northeastern, the Panthers would win the tiebreaker based on best league victory (Georgia State over Drexel)

NORTHEASTERN (9-8, at UD)

* The Huskies will be the No. 7 seed.

* If tied with Georgia State, the Huskies would lose the tiebreaker based on best league victory (Georgia State over Drexel).

UNC WILMINGTON (5-12, at Hofstra)

* The Seahawks will be the No. 8 seed with a win OR a James Madison loss

* The Seahawks will be the No. 9 seed with a loss AND a James Madison win

* If tied with William and Mary, the Seahawks would win a head-to-head tiebreaker based on a season sweep (Jan. 21 and Feb. 4)

* If tied with James Madison, the Seahawks would lose a head-to-head tiebreaker based on a Jan. 18 loss

* If in a three-way tie with James Madison and William & Mary, the Seahawks would be second (and the No. 9 seed) based on mini-group record (James Madison 2-1, UNC Wilmington 2-1, William & Mary 1-3) and then losing the ensuing head-to-head tiebreaker to James Madison

WILLIAM & MARY (4-13, vs. GSU)

* The Tribe will be the No. 9 seed with a James Madison loss

* The Tribe will be the No. 9 seed with a win AND a James Madison win AND a UNC Wilmington win

* The Tribe will be the No. 10 seed with a win AND a James Madison win AND a UNC Wilmington loss

* The Tribe will be the No. 10 seed with a loss AND a James Madison win

* If tied with UNC Wilmington, the Tribe would lose a head-to-head tiebreaker based on a season sweep (Jan. 21 and Feb. 4)

* If tied with James Madison, the Tribe would win a tiebreaker based on best league victory (William & Mary over Northeastern)

* If in a three-way tie with UNC Wilmington and James Madison, the Tribe would be third (and the No. 10 seed) based on mini-group record (James Madison 2-1, UNC Wilmington 2-1, William & Mary 1-3)

JAMES MADISON (4-13, vs. Towson)

* The Dukes will be the No. 8 seed with a win AND a UNC Wilmington loss

* The Dukes will be the No. 9 seed with a win AND a UNC Wilmington win AND a William & Mary loss

* The Dukes will be the No. 10 seed with a win AND a UNC Wilmington win AND a William & Mary win

* The Dukes will be the No. 10 seed with a loss

* If tied with UNC Wilmington, the Dukes would win a head-to-head tiebreaker based on a Jan. 18 win

* If tied with William & Mary, the Dukes would lose a tiebreaker based on best league victory (William & Mary over Northeastern)

* If in a three-way tie with UNC Wilmington and William & Mary, the Dukes would be first (and the No. 8 seed) based on mini-group record (James Madison 2-1, UNC Wilmington 2-1, William & Mary 1-3) and then winning the ensuing head-to-head tiebreaker with UNC Wilmington.

HOFSTRA (2-15, vs. UNCW)

* The Pride will be the No. 11 seed.

* If tied with Towson, the Pride would win the head-to-head tiebreaker based on their Feb. 1 win.

TOWSON (1-16, at JMU)

* The Tigers will be the No. 12 seed.

* If tied with Hofstra, the Tigers would lose the head-to-head tiebreaker based on their Feb. 1 loss.

Patrick Stevens

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