Poll numbers released Thursday show that if former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton wants the 2016 Democratic presidential nomination, it’s likely to be hers at this point.
Mrs. Clinton would get 65 percent of Democrats’ votes compared to 13 percent for Vice President Joseph R. Biden, 4 percent for New York Gov. Amdrew Cuomo, and 1 percent or less for Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley, U.S. Sen. Mark Warner of Virginia and Masachusetts Gov. Deval Patrick.
If Mrs. Clinton is not in the race, Mr. Biden gets 45 percent and Mr. Cuomo 15 percent, with Mr. Patrick taking 6 percent, Mr. O’Malley 3 percent and Mr. Warner 2 percent, according to a Quinnipiac poll released Thursday.
“Hillary Clinton has a rock-solid hold on the hearts of Democratic voters at this point,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. “If she decides not to run, Vice President Joseph Biden does almost as well as she does against the rest of the field. There is a long way to go until 2016, but none of the other younger potential candidates for the Democratic nomination currently has anything approaching widespread support from party voters.”
A Monday column in the New York Post said Mr. Cuomo has “quietly conceded” to confidants that he can’t run for the nomination if Clinton does, but Mr. Cuomo immediately dismissed that as “Monday rumors.”
“Hillary Clinton is going to do whatever Hillary Clinton is going to do and I’m doing what I’m doing,” Mr. Cuomo said on public radio’s “Capitol Pressroom.”
Mr. O’Malley, who is term-limited out of office in Jan. 2015, has said he’s considering a presidential bid.
From April 25-29, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,471 registered voters with a margin of error of 2.6 percentage points. Thirty-five percent self-identified as Democrats; the question was asked of Democrats and Democratic leaners.