A new poll shows that the race to fill the open seat in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District is “too close to call.”
The Public Policy Polling survey showed that Republican Mark Sanford leads Democrat Elizabeth Colbert Busch by a razor-thin 47 to 46 margin ahead of the special election on Tuesday. The poll of 1,239 likely voters was conducted on May 4 and 5. The margin of error for the survey is plus or minus 2.8 percent.
The poll marks a stark turnaround for Mr. Sanford. Two weeks ago, Mrs. Colbert Busch, sister of comedian Stephen Colbert, led him by 9 points.
“Colbert Busch could certainly still win this race. Sanford remains unpopular, and she’s run a strong campaign,” the poll said. “But we said 2 weeks ago that if Sanford was going to win, he needed to shift the focus away from him and toward Barack Obama and Nancy Pelosi, and it appears he’s done that effectively enough to give him the momentum headed into Election Day.”
The South Carolina seat opened up after South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley appointed Rep. Tim Scott to the seat that former Sen. Jim DeMint gave up to join the conservative Heritage Foundation, a Washington think tank.
Mr. Sanford is trying to make a political comeback after he disappeared from the state as governor in 2009 in order to carry on what became a very public extramarital affair with Maria Belen Chapur, an Argentine woman to whom he later became engaged.