Six days from Selection Sunday, a consensus is emerging about Georgetown’s landing spot in the NCAA Tournament.
Surveying eight major bracket projections updated today or yesterday, Georgetown is a No. 6 seed in five and a No. 5 seed in the rest. Three of the brackets place Georgetown in Tulsa, Okla. The others that picked sites scattered the Hoyas from Tampa, Fla., to Tucson, Ariz., to Chicago.
History actually favors the No. 6 seed. Well, barely. Since the tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, the No. 6 seed wins 68 percent of its first-round games. In those pesky 5-12 matchups, the No. 5 seed wins 66 percent of the time.
The obligatory caveat: plenty can — and will — change by Sunday.
There’s Wednesday’s matchup with the UConn-DePaul winner in the Big East Tournament. UConn, of course, beat Georgetown 78-70 Feb. 16.
And perhaps an even bigger question: How will the selection committee view the broken bone in Chris Wright’s left hand that’s sidelined him for the last two games? Georgetown expects Wright back before season’s end, but that likely means the NCAA Tournament. Without Wright, the Hoyas are a different team. The Hoyas know that. So will the selection committee.