Islamist takeovers a real threat, 9/11 panelist says

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The threat of Islamist extremists taking over Pakistan or Saudi Arabia is real and could "fundamentally change the balance of security in the world," September 11 commission member John F. Lehman said yesterday.

How the United States treats the delicate balance of pro-American governments and radical Muslim forces in those two nations is critical to the success of U.S. strategy on terrorism, Mr. Lehman said during a meeting with reporters at The Washington Times.

Pakistan and Saudi Arabia "are not our enemies," he said. "If they are to fall into our enemies' hands, it would fundamentally change the balance and have enormous impact on our economy."

His remarks came one day after the September 11 commission delivered its 567-page final report with a thorough account of terrorism and the plot leading to the hijackings, and a multitude of recommendations for protecting against future attacks.

The report calls for open confrontation of the "problems" in the U.S.-Saudi relationship and, in general, urges the United States to define its message to Muslim governments. Challenging the nation to "engage the struggle of ideas," the report also calls for funding literacy programs in the Arab world while also recognizing that "Arab and Muslim audiences rely on satellite television and radio."

Mr. Lehman yesterday said he was appalled by how little money the United States spends to broadcast its message in local languages. Regarding Pakistan and Saudi Arabia, "the United States must take a very high priority and sophisticated approach to dealing with both countries because the politics internally to each are very unstable, with very strong Islamist forces at work," he said.

Suggesting the two nations are sitting atop a fault line between secularism and fundamentalism, Mr. Lehman pondered what grave consequences would result should either tip toward the latter. "In the case of Saudi Arabia, it could well lead to a total cutoff of oil," he said. "In Pakistan, they have hundreds of nuclear weapons."

Mr. Lehman, who served as Navy secretary under President Reagan, was one of five Republicans on the 10-member September 11 panel, known formally as the National Commission on Terrorist Attacks Upon the United States. Drawing from more than 2 million classified documents, the final report includes previously classified bits of material, which alone may dramatically affect U.S. foreign policy.

It concludes that while Iran might have aided the September 11 plot, Iraq provided no operational help in the attack. A furor started last month over that issue, when a commission staffers said in a preliminary report that there was no "collaborative relationship" between al Qaeda and Iraq.

The earlier report prompted front-page stories in many newspapers, and Bush administration critics seized on the statement. But Mr. Lehman yesterday said commissioners hadn't given that portion a close reading and, after a more thorough examination, decided that it wasn't accurate. The final report uses slightly different language, saying there was "no collaborative operational relationship."