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The House is the only obstacle that stands between President Bush and a comprehensive immigration bill, and the White House yesterday predicted that the chamber's Republicans will give in.
White House press secretary Tony Snow said House Republicans will want to pass border security badly enough to back down from the fight against what many consider amnesty for illegal aliens, knowing there is a "heavier political price for failing to act, than for acting."
"If you are a Republican member of Congress and you're concerned about illegal immigration, do you really want to say to your constituents: You know, I'm going to wait a couple of years before I take up the issue of people knowingly hiring illegal aliens, I want to wait a couple of years before I go ahead and try to identify who the illegal aliens are, I want to wait a couple of years before I start grappling with what to do with these 11 or 12 million people who are here illegally," Mr. Snow said.
A president always has the most influence in the backroom House-Senate negotiations, but yesterday, Mr. Snow wouldn't tip the administration's hand when asked how they would approach the conference committee.
"At this point, let's get a bill through the Senate, let's figure out where the fault lines are," he said.
But those fault lines between the House and Senate are fairly public, deep and fundamental.
The House passed a bill in December that stepped up border enforcement and interior enforcement, enabled local law enforcement in border areas to help enforce immigration laws and cracked down on employers who hired illegal aliens.
The Senate included some of those measures but put far more emphasis on future foreign workers and a pathway to citizenship for the current estimated 10 million to 12 million illegal aliens, a move House Republicans consider an unacceptable amnesty.
"If both parties in a negotiation are running the other way, they will never meet in any middle," said Don Stewart, spokesman for Sen. John Cornyn, Texas Republican.
"The question for the House is some agreement to do more than just border security. The question for the Senate is: Are they willing to be less generous than the Senate bill? Without a yes on both of those two questions, there's no point in the conference going forward."







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