
NEW YORK | In recent years, the Heisman Trophy ceremony has been about as suspenseful as Florida vs. The Citadel. Even before it started, the outcome was never in doubt.
Southern California's Reggie Bush in 2005 and Ohio State's Troy Smith in 2006 took home their Heismans after two of the biggest landslides in the award's 73-year history. And it was no shock last year when Florida quarterback Tim Tebow became the first sophomore to win the big bronze statue.
Tebow's back in Manhattan for another Heisman handout, looking to make it two in a row Saturday night, but this time if his name - or Sam Bradford's or Colt McCoy's - is called, he won't have to pretend to be surprised.
"I think this year no one really knows," said Bradford, Oklahoma's prolific passer. "It's going to be a close race."
Bradford, who leads the nation in passer rating (186.3) and TD passes (48), is the slight favorite going into the festivities at the Nokia Theatre in Times Square, according to StiffArmTrophy.com, a Web site that polls some of the 925 Heisman voters and has successfully predicted the last six winners.
Most of those have been pretty easy, though the site also boasts of getting, on average, within 2.9 percentage points of the winning vote.
As of Friday afternoon, the site had Bradford projected to receive 1,687 points, with McCoy 171 points back at 1,516 and Tebow at 1,446.
The vote hasn't been that close between the top two since Oklahoma quarterback Jason White beat out Pittsburgh wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald in 2003 by 128 points.
The closest margin in points came in 1985, when Auburn's Bo Jackson beat out Iowa quarterback Chuck Long by 46 points.
If the three quarterbacks who are the finalists this season were jumpy about the outcome, they weren't letting on about 29 hours before the announcement was to be made.
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