Chavez-Russia gambit signals need for U.S. moves

Russia's confidence building presence has an additional trajectory in that it positions them to control oil exports to the U.S. if Israel goes after Iran. Like the invasion of Georgia, Chavez could signal support for Iran and cut off oil to the U.S. with Russia manipulating confidence and moving on the BTC pipeline with "Ossetian guerilla's". With the Straits of Hormuz threatened, between 35 and 40% of Europes oil will be threatened in conjunction with the BTC pipeline being shut down. Combine that with Russia's natural gas monopoly and it's good bye NATO. Sarkozy's withdrawal agreement was somewhat relative on the withdrawal, so we can assume they might be a proxy. Then again, Obama's principled diplomacy may do away with NATO anyway.