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Illogic rules the reasoning of Israel-Syria relations

By Claude Salhani, MIDDLE EAST TIMES | Friday, October 10, 2008

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Nothing could be more logical than a peace deal between Israel and Syria, yet the "illogical" logic often driving Middle East politics indicates that the most rational policy for both sides is to maintain the status quo.

The current state of no war-no peace has taxed both countries in terms of military spending and resources that could otherwise have been invested in the economy. It's not as though the money could not be used elsewhere.

And now Russia, only too happy to get back at Israel and the United States for their support of Georgia in the recent imbroglio in the Caucasus over Abkhazia and South Ossetia, is responding to Syria's demand for Russian air-defense missiles.

After a meeting between Syrian President Bashar Assad and Russian President Dmitry Medvedev in the Black Sea resort of Sochi in August, Russia has agreed to sell Syria Pantsir surface-to-air missiles and Buk-M12 surface-to-surface missiles. An earlier request by Syria for S-300 air-defense systems and short-range Iskander missiles was scrapped after Washington applied pressure on the Russians. But that was B.C. - Before the Caucasus.

This continued existence in political limbo has dragged on now for the good part of 35 years, ever since Henry Kissinger, as secretary of state, brokered a cease-fire between Damascus and Jerusalem after the Yom Kippur War in October 1973.

Despite overtures from Damascus, peace between Israel and Syria - the only front-line Arab state still in a state of war with Israel - remains a distant prospect. This time, it is Israel that does not look at peace with Syria as being advantageous to its national interests. At least not for now.

The Israel-Syria dispute, said Israeli Maj. Gen. Giora Eiland, former director of Israel's national security council, is much less complicated than the Israeli-Palestinian dispute. The latter involves finalizing borders between the two countries; agreeing over the status of Jerusalem, a city holy to Jews, Muslims and Christians, and claimed by both the Israelis and the Palestinians as their capital; and the "sticky wicket" of ongoing Palestinian-Israeli dialogue, the "right of return" of Palestinian refugees who fled in 1948 and 1967.

"The Israeli-Syrian dispute is simpler," Gen. Eiland told a conference in Europe two weeks ago.

He noted that in the Palestinian issue, border demarcation remains hazy with each side arguing over the exact trajectory of the future border and is further complicated by the fact that it's a dispute between a state (Israel) and at least two organizations (Fatah, a secular entity ruling over much of the West Bank, and Hamas, a strictly Islamist organization calling for the destruction of Israel).

The retired Israeli army general pointed out that the dispute with Syria is unambiguous. "It's a territorial dispute between two countries."