Continued from page 2

Mr. Fingar said intelligence analysts have been preparing reports and analyses for the next administration, which he said will focus on Iraq, Iran, North Korea and the war on terrorism as well as other topics.

“And come January and February and March, again, no matter who wins the election, we anticipate having a large number of new customers who do not know the intelligence community,” he said.

“They know about us from infamy, from reputation, from caricature, from open congressional testimony, from scurrilous press, from good repute, through trusted interlocutors. But we will have to again build an understanding of what we can do and confidence in it.”

Mr. Fingar said he has sought to bolster a community still recovering from the intelligence failures related to the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks and the failure to find weapons of mass destruction in Iraq.

Mr. Fingar said he will try to head off further intelligence reform by arguing to the next president that “we are not broken.” Nevertheless, he also said intelligence agencies are still not as good as they should be.

“We are working arguably better than we ever have,” he said. “And mostly, we know and agree on where we need to be. Getting there is always a challenge. The devil is in the details. Turf issues arise. Mythology is not yet dead about individual components. But we’re getting there.”

In a second speech, Mr. Fingar spoke about the intelligence community’s project to assess the world in the year 2025, and he concluded that the key feature will be a world of diminished American power.

One of the report’s main conclusions is that “the U.S. will remain the pre-eminent power, but that American dominance will be much diminished over this period of time.”

He said “the overwhelming dominance that the United States has enjoyed in the international system in military, political, economic, and arguably, cultural arenas is eroding and will erode at an accelerating pace with the partial exception of military.”

Bill Gertz covers national security affairs. He can be reached at 202/636-3274, or at