What could be more far-fetched than to predict that three of the four rookie coaches in the NFL would lead their teams to the playoffs this season?
How about two of those rookies facing each other in the Super Bowl?
Or crazier still: two rookie quarterbacks on wild card teams led by rookie coaches doing battle in the big game?
And if that happens, Smith and Harbaugh will put the most prized possession in football in the hands of two rookie quarterbacks - Joe Flacco of the Ravens and Matt Ryan of the Falcons.
It’s not likely, but neither is it too much of a stretch.
The Falcons (11-5) face the bigger roadblocks to the Super Bowl - the New York Giants and Carolina Panthers - though Atlanta beat the Panthers 45-28 in their second meeting six weeks ago.
But you have to like the Falcons, who face a questionable Arizona Cardinals team on the road on Saturday, to advance beyond the wild card round.
The Falcons enter the playoffs a hot team, winners of seven of their past nine games. They possess a strong, balanced offense led by Ryan, the NFL offensive rookie of the year, and running back Michael Turner.
The Cardinals (9-7, but 3-7 against teams outside their division) live and die on the arm of ancient quarterback Kurt Warner. Their rushing offense ranks as the worst in the league, averaging just 73.6 yards a game - less than half of the 152.7 yards a game averaged by the Falcons.
That’s not a formula for a Cardinals victory.
Both the Falcons and the Ravens, it turns out, drew favorable matchups. The Ravens face the AFC East champion Miami Dolphins on the road Sunday. Though they reached the playoffs with a wild card, the Ravens look like the stronger team — and a team built for playoff success.
The Ravens defeated the Dolphins 27-13 in Miami early in the season. The Dolphins went on a tear after that loss, winning nine of their final 10 games. But they didn’t play a schedule as tough as the Ravens’, a slate that included a brutal, last-minute loss to a Steelers team that, with a clear-headed Ben Roethlisberger at quarterback, would be considered the AFC favorite.
The Ravens’ defense still is led by linebacker Ray Lewis along with two of the best defensive players in the game, safety Ed Reed and linebacker Terrell Suggs. It ranks second in the league against the rush and second in pass defense behind only the Steelers.
The offense also has shown a strong running game of late behind Le’Ron McClain, rookie Ray Rice and even an awakening Willis McGahee — perhaps putting together the kind of playoff run the Ravens did on the way to Super Bowl XXXV.