Beijing tries to control man, nature

BEIJING | Chinese authorities are doing everything in their power to ensure that nothing rains on the nation’s 60th anniversary parade Thursday - including keeping 18 cloud-seeding airplanes on standby to disperse any thunderstorms before they reach Beijing.

But six decades after Mao Zedong’s communist revolution, a robust debate continues over whether and when a regime that has blended strict social controls with increasing economic freedom will evolve toward greater democracy.

On Tuesday, much of central Beijing was on lockdown as hotels, restaurants and shops were shut along the parade route from the Avenue of Eternal Peace to Tiananmen Square. Tourist attractions including the Forbidden City, once home to emperors, were closed to the public.

Leading dissidents and human rights lawyers have been arrested or are being kept under close watch. New regulations banned petitioners from coming to Beijing to air their grievances - a practice that goes back to imperial times. Among those rebuffed were parents of some of the thousands of children sickened in China’s scandal over tainted milk.

Still, in the days leading up to the anniversary, there have been two stabbing incidents, protests by about 100 university students calling for the release of a lecturer and 1989 Tiananmen Square demonstrator, a bus fire and what authorities say was an accidental gas explosion at a Muslim restaurant in central Beijing on Friday.

More than 30,000 police and 100,000 civilian volunteers have been mobilized to maintain order during the main event, which will include a military parade, musical performances and fireworks. About 200,000 soldiers, students and others are obliged to take part.

According to state-run media, two dozen new military vehicles and a dozen new flight formations will be unveiled. But residents along the route have been told not to go to their windows or roofs or take photos.

Only carefully vetted “special guests” will get tickets to see the parade and other festivities live at Tiananmen Square, Beijing Vice Mayor Ji Lin told reporters. Mr. Ji encouraged others to watch television.

Orders also were sent to other cities and provinces not to allow mass anniversary celebrations out of fear that they could become magnets for social instability.

All of this has some asking why China’s government is feeling so insecure after three decades of steady economic progress and rising living standards.

China is focusing on the economic and military aspects of the 60th anniversary because it wants to “show its power and ability to mobilize people to do things as one,” said Mo Zhixu, a writer and head of the Independent Chinese PEN Center who is also one of the founders of the popular blogging platform Bullog.cn, which is blocked in China.

“The government wants to awe and bemuse the people, to let them see how powerful China has become,” said Mr. Mo. “But I think people are having a negative reaction to the parade because it has interrupted their daily lives.”

Mr. Mo, a signatory of Charter 08 - a document originally signed by about 300 Chinese intellectuals and later another 8,000 citizens which calls for free expression and free elections - was briefly under house arrest in August.

He said his house was searched and some of his property confiscated because he wanted to start a campaign to ask people to write about how their lives and thoughts had changed since June 4, 1989, when Chinese authorities violently broke up student demonstrations in Tiananmen Square.

Violent protests, or as China calls them “mass incidents,” have been increasing in the past few years, targeting local corruption, environmental pollution and cover-ups of health problems involving children. A repeat of anything close to the events at Tiananmen 20 years ago is exactly what China’s authorities want to prevent.

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