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An infusion of new people to the state, combined with a growing dissatisfaction with the state’s high tax rates, has created opportunities for Republicans to capitalize on the voters’ naturally more conservative bent, he said.

“Minnesota is not this liberal bastion that people think,” said Mr. Sutton. “What’s happening is their voting patterns are finally starting to catch up with their values.”

Amazingly, the Republican jobs-and-growth message resonated in a state that has experienced relatively low unemployment compared with other Midwestern states. The state’s unemployment rate sits below 7 percent.

Democrats can only hope that 2010 was a fluke, but Mr. Sutton predicted that Republicans would continue to build on their success in the 2012 election.

“In 2012, I think other [Democratic] seats will be vulnerable,” said Mr. Sutton. “And I don’t think that’s just the afterglow of this election talking. Voters are starting to equate tax increases with job losses. This state is trending conservative.”