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• 46 percent overall say it is “likely” they would vote for Mr. Obama if the election were held today.

• 10 percent of Republicans and 74 percent of Democrats agree.

• 35 percent overall think Mr. Obama will be re-elected in 2012.

• 12 percent of Republicans and 59 percent of Democrats agree.

Source: A Harris Poll of 2,183 adults conducted July 11-18.

Hue and cry, innuendo to