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• 30 percent overall say Mr. Obama will be re-elected; 9 percent of Republicans and 54 percent of Democrats agree.

• 21 percent overall are unsure; 12 percent of Republicans and 24 percent of Democrats agree.

• 40 percent overall say it’s likely they will vote for Mr. Obama; 9 percent of Republicans and 73 percent of Democrats agree.

Source: A Harris Poll of 2,463 U.S. adults conducted Oct. 10-17.

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