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Lim and colleagues projected malaria deaths wouldn’t fall below 100,000 until after 2020. That could make reaching certain targets _ such as the United Nations’ aim of cutting malaria deaths to “near-zero” by 2015 _ tricky. “It’s unlikely that goal will be met,” Lim said, adding a few more decades might be necessary. “Based on what we are seeing, there may be a need to rethink the timeline for malaria elimination.”

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