DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (AP) — Iran has floated specific dates for reopening talks with the U.S. and other world powers about its nuclear program. At the same time, Tehran has left U.N. nuclear inspectors empty-handed when it comes to addressing Western suspicions that it’s conducting tests related to nuclear weapons.
Iran’s split personality over creating space for possible nuclear concessions has complicated calculations by Washington and allies on whether to head back into negotiations more than six months after the last round ended in stalemate. But it also offers insight into Tehran’s strategy as Western sanctions press harder on the economy, experts say.
Iranian leaders know the only route to ease the economic pressures — and possibly undercut threats of military action by Israel — is through potential deal-making with six world powers — the five permanent members of the U.N. Security Council plus Germany.
Making grand gestures to the U.N.’s nuclear watchdog, the International Atomic Energy Agency, would likely bring praise from the West, but are unlikely to roll back sanctions, which have so far reduced Iran’s critical oil exports by 45 percent.
“Tehran … sees any cooperation with the IAEA as a potential bargaining chip that is better reserved for the talks that really matter,” said Suzanne Maloney, an Iranian affairs expert at the Brookings Institution in Washington. “The Iranians want a payout and the IAEA cannot deliver that.”
Iran has proposed restarting talks as early as next month. But while Iran’s desire to revive dialogue with the world powers suggests an acknowledgment that the sanctions have taken a bite out of its economy, there still are no clear signals on whether it means a greater willingness to make concessions.
Three rounds of talks last year made no headway on the West’s main demand: That Iran halt its highest-level uranium enrichment.
Washington and others worry this level of nuclear fuel, at 20 percent enrichment, could be turned into warhead-grade material much faster than the 3.5 percent enriched uranium needed for Iran’s lone energy-producing reactor.
Iran insists it does not seek nuclear arms — repeatedly citing a 2005 edict by Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei that called atomic weapons a violation of Islamic tenets — and says it only wants reactors for electricity and medical research.
For Iranian negotiators, the only workable compromise is seen as part of a reciprocal pact: The easing of Western sanctions in return for promises to trim uranium enrichment. So far, however, the U.S. and its allies have given no indication of favoring such a deal. Instead, they have moved to further tighten the economic squeeze and isolate Iran.
Iranian envoys appear to favor getting the dialogue restarted to at least keep channels open with Washington. That could also gain support from the Obama administration, which favors diplomatic efforts to end the nuclear standoff. Critics, including Israel’s Prime Benjamin Netanyahu, contend Iran is only seeking to drag out negotiations while it expands its stockpile of enriched uranium.
“Iran’s leaders are adopting a grand-bargain strategy,” said Mehrzad Boroujerdi, a Syracuse University professor who follows Iranian affairs. “They don’t want to get bogged down with the IAEA and see the only way to get what they want — meaning getting some sanctions off their back — is through the world power talks.”
In Washington, State Department spokeswoman Victoria Nuland said Friday that the U.S. was disappointed that “once again” that Iran and the IAEA failed to agree on allowing inspectors to visit a military site, known as Parchin, where the U.N. agency suspects Iran might have carried out nuclear weapon trigger tests.
The agency has visited Parchin twice — the last time in 2005. But at the time, it did not have access to satellite imagery and new intelligence presumably supplied by the United States, Israel and other IAEA member states. Iran says it wants assurances from the IAEA that the Parchin file will be closed for good if it allows another tour of Parchin and nothing is detected.View Entire Story
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