As noted previously, predictions are on a long list of things I don’t do well. Every now and then, the “blind squirrel” theory will activate and I’ll get something right, but it is usually an accident.
With the Nationals below .500 after 75 games, revisiting my preseason projections seemed like a good idea. Well, that’s if your idea of a good idea is one where you get proven wrong repeatedly. At least with the 2013 Nats, I’m not alone. They were the trendy pick for the World Series. Not so much anymore.
But with pro golfers in town this week, I’m going to call for a mulligan and try again. Here are the categories we used in our Nats preview section with my picks at the time and my “new” picks. These, I’m sure, will be much better. Or maybe not.
Nats record: 101-61. They only have to go 64-23 the rest of the way to hit that. Or 61-26 to match last season’s record. So let’s go with 85-77. The Nats can’t help but be better in the second half of the season than they’ve been so far.
Place in NL East: First. Now second, where they are now and where they’ll stay.
Nats average leader:Jayson Werth, .312. Changing to Desmond, .290.
Nats wins leader: Gio Gonzalez, 22. He did win 21 last year. He has three thus far this year despite pitching quite well recently. Showing amazing faith in Jordan Zimmermann’s hot start, we’ll keep the number the same and sub in Zimmermann.
Nats ERA leader: Zimmermann, 2.71. Hey, there’s one that worked. We’ll lower the number to 2.51.
Nats saves leader: Rafael Soriano, 44. Kind of a foolproof pick, barring injury. No change.
Biggest Nats surprise: Ross Detwiler makes the All-Star team. Meant to say Zimmermann. Honest. Must have been an editing mistake or some other glitch. That’s my story and I’m sticking to it.
Biggest Nats disappointment: Stephen Strasburg doesn’t make the All-Star team. Well, he won’t though he has pitched pretty well most of the season and especially well lately.
Anthony Rendon in 2013? Here’s your blind squirrel. I predicted he’d be called up by the All-Star break. He may end up as the average leader, too.
AL East champ: I said Blue Jays. Jumping to Red Sox.