- The Washington Times - Thursday, May 2, 2013

ANALYSIS/OPINION:

My son turns 30 in two months, a fact he hates being reminded of when just the two of us are in the room. He’ll be thrilled that I’m sharing it with dozens now.

But there is a reason his age is important to this discussion. Being the son of a sports writer isn’t quite as neat as it might sound, particularly being the son of this particular sports writer. It has, though, given him an appreciation of a variety of sports and an interest in most of them.

He likes horse racing, as does his dad. Unlike his dad, he hasn’t seen a horse win a Triple Crown since he’s been alive.


My guess is he likely never will see one, even if he lives to 100 as I hope he does.

Jockey Steve Cauthen (3) rides Affirmed to win the Belmont Stakes and the Triple Crown narrowly ahead of Alydar, ridden by jockey Jorge Velasquez, at Belmont race track in Elmont, N.Y., in this June 10, 1978 photo. Belmont racetrack celebrates its 100th birthday next Wednesday. (AP Photo)
Jockey Steve Cauthen (3) rides Affirmed to win the Belmont Stakes and ... more >

The Kentucky Derby is Saturday in Louisville, Ky., the start of a wonderful five-week period. In two weeks, the Preakness Stakes will be contested at Pimlico in Baltimore. Three weeks after that, the Belmont Stakes takes place in Elmont, N.Y.

A horse that sweeps all three of those wins the Triple Crown.

The last time that happened? It was 1978, when Affirmed pulled it off. It capped a great period in horse racing, following the marvelous Secretariat’s 1973 Crown and Seattle Slew’s in 1977. It should have been three in a row. Spectacular Bid, maybe the best of the bunch, was beaten in the Belmont Stakes in 1979.

“Bid” was first of many horses to win the first two legs and falter in the Belmont, the longest and most daunting of the races at 1 ½ miles.

Most disappointing in our house was Big Brown in 2008. The horse looked powerful in winning the Derby and Preakness. The Derby victory provided a nice dinner for my family, thanks to an off-track betting parlor being located near my office at the time. We had a chocolate lab at the time we affectionately called Big Brown, long before the horse was born.

Finally, I thought, my kids are going to see a Triple Crown winner. Nope. We watched on a television at Nationals Park as Big Brown eased up and finished last. That’s when my son asked, “Will I ever see one?”

Last year, we thought it might happen again. But I’ll Have Another never even made it to the Belmont starting gate as he was scratched with an injury the day before the race. He has since been retired, never running again after the Preakness.

I don’t follow the sport nearly as closely anymore, which puts me in the majority. Casual fans will watch Saturday’s race and pay attention to the Preakness. If the Derby winner triumphs again, the Belmont will get a lot of attention. If the Derby winner loses, the Belmont will pass pretty much unnoticed.

Until Wednesday’s draw for positions and the installment of a horse named Orb as the early favorite, I couldn’t have named one Derby starter. I know trainer Todd Pletcher has a bunch of horses in the field. I know Louisville basketball coach Rick Pitino is a part-owner of one of the entrants. I know if I do place a wager, it will be on the totally unscientific method of picking numbers out of the blue (2-5-7) and not based on any actual handicapping.

That said, I’m willing to bet whichever horse does win Saturday doesn’t win the next two in the series.

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