- Al Sharpton, Trayvon Martin’s parents rally against Fla. ‘stand your ground’ law
- Hillary Clinton campaign got illicit funds from D.C. scandal figure
- Obama administration backs off plan to cut prescription-drug program
- Tickets linked to stolen passports purchased by Iranian middleman
- More than 3,500 police planned for Boston Marathon
- Ottawa day care suspends 2-year-old for ‘outside’ cheese sandwich
- Liam Neeson tells NYC mayor to ‘man up’ in horse carriage fight
- Real-life Dr. Doolittle to reveal how to talk to animals
- Climate change could bring back smallpox, researchers say
- Shoe-bomb witness to speak from London at N.Y. trial
Scott Walker’s 2016 dilemmas: Paul Ryan and re-election vs. a chance for presidency
Unlike New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas, Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal, Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky and other 2016 maybes, Mr. Walker has stayed home and stayed quiet.
Managerial skill doesn’t necessarily trump public impression. The concern is that some Democrats and independents whose votes he will need next year may not cotton to the idea that he will use a second term as strategic positioning to become top dog in the American political kennel.
As for Mr. Ryan, friends say he fully grasps the implications of history and probability tables. Both show that only one sitting U.S. House member, James A. Garfield, has ever won the presidency. That was in 1880, and the Ohio legislature had elected him to the Senate when he ran for president.
Even if Mr. Walker risked running statewide and was now a sitting senator, the odds wouldn’t improve much: Only three sitting senators have been elected president: Warren G. Harding, John F. Kennedy and Mr. Obama.
It may be some consolation that, for similar reasons, the playing field also may tilt against Mr. Cruz and Mr. Paul, the two other top conservatives considered first-tier potentials for 2016.
Fellow Republicans are betting Mr. Ryan fully understands that to win the chance to govern the nation, it’s better to have governed a state than to have sponsored a bill.
What should delight Mr. Walker, meanwhile, is that in the course of the 57 presidential elections held so far, 42 governors or former governors have won their party’s nomination for president — and 25 of them made it to the Oval Office.
But that also should delight Mr. Christie, Mr. Jindal, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, Texas Gov. Rick Perry and others.
© Copyright 2014 The Washington Times, LLC. Click here for reprint permission.
About the Author
Chief political writer Ralph Z. Hallow served on the Chicago Tribune, Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, Washington Times editorial boards, was Ford Foundation Fellow in Urban Journalism at Northwestern University, resident at Columbia University Editorial-Page Editors Seminar and has filed from Berlin, Bonn, London, Paris, Geneva, Vienna, Amman, Beirut, Cairo, Damascus, Jerusalem, Tel Aviv, Belgrade, Bucharest, Panama and Guatemala.
- DeLay: GOP failing to fight criminalization of politics
- Question for CPAC-goers: Is Congress relevant anymore?
- Rand Paul looking to hedge bet in 2016 election
- CPAC conservatives frustrated by GOP's compromises, lack of leadership
- Big money haul keeps Chris Christie's role at Republican Governors Association safe
Latest Blog Entries
TWT Video Picks
By David Keene
Conference showed that the values Reagan cherished still endure
- Hillary Clinton campaign received funds from Jeffrey Thompson
- Kim Jong-un calls for execution of 33 Christians
- Senate Democrats, Republicans spar over restoring unemployment benefits
- Unanimous Senate passes bill on military sex assault to give victims more say in prosecution
- Atheists sue to remove 'Ground Zero Cross' from 9/11 museum
- Mitch McConnell on beating tea party: 'We are going to crush them'
- Bill Clinton poses for photo with Bunny Ranch prostitutes
- Sharyl Attkisson resigns from CBS after months of talks
- George Zimmerman signs autographs at Orlando gun show
- DHS accused of holding U.S. citizen at airport, using emails to pry into her sex life
Pope Francis meets his 'mini-me'
Celebrity deaths in 2014
Winter storm hits states — again