- The Washington Times - Tuesday, April 1, 2014

Charles Gaba, a Michigan Web developer who burst into the spotlight this month with a website that tracks Obamacare enrollment, has updated his estimate of final enrollment to more than 7 million people — a high-profile target the administration embraced then abandoned during the law’s rollout.

On his website, ACASignups.net,Mr. Gaba said overnight that he’s updated his “official projection” to 7,080,180 enrollees in private coverage.


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“But I’m not trying to pretend that I had this thing nailed to the decimal point; my last real projection was between 6.9M-7.0M, so I’m willing to divide 7,000,000 into whatever the final number is to find out how far off I am,” he wrote about an hour before enrollment closed at midnight Monday.

The Congressional Budget Office estimated that 7 million people would sign up for private coverage under President Obama’s law during the first round of open enrollment from Oct. 1 to March 31. But it revised that projection down to 6 million after the main Obamacare website, HealthCare.gov, and some state-run websites stumbled out of the gate last fall.

The administration, too, shifted its rhetoric from the 7-million target to an open-ended pursuit of as many enrollees as possible, especially among young adults.

Republican critics say the numbers are misleading, because some people had to replace coverage they lost when their barebones plans were cancelled last year.

Mr. Gaba noted that critics also question the exact number of young adults who have been able to stay on their parents’ plans until age 26, or whether the administration should tout people who were always eligible for Medicaid and came out of the “woodwork” to sign up amid publicity in state that are expanding the program under Obamacare.

“The bottom line is this: No matter how you slice it, this is a ton of people receiving decent healthcare coverage who either a) didn’t have anything before or b) can no longer be dropped, denied or bankrupted by coverage that was scattershot, piecemeal or shoddy,” he wrote on his website.