- Associated Press - Thursday, October 20, 2016

HONOLULU (AP) - The Latest on the west season forecast for Hawaii (all times local):

11 a.m.

A National Weather Service forecaster says Hawaii residents can expect trade wind showers and storms to bring near to above average rainfall during the winter wet season.

Senior hydrologist Kevin Kodama says storms coming in from the west and northwest can lead to flash flooding in Hawaii. These storms are often brought by cold fronts, Kona storms and upper level low pressure systems.

The weather service on Thursday released its forecast for Hawaii’s wet season, which lasts from October through April.

A La Nina that is forming in the central Pacific is one reason for the relatively wet outlook. La Nina is a cooling of the central Pacific that affects weather around the globe.

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9:30 a.m.

The National Weather Service says Hawaii will likely have near to above average rainfall this winter.

The agency said Thursday areas of leeward Kauai and leeward Maui that are still in drought will probably recover.

One factor behind the outlook is a La Nina that is forming. La Nina is a cooling of the central Pacific that affects weather around the globe.

It’s the flip side of El Nino, which is a natural warming of the central Pacific. Last year, El Nino conditions delivered Hawaii’s fifth driest wet season in the last 30 years and a record-setting hurricane season.

Forecasters say this winter’s La Nina may not last long. There’s only a 55 percent change it will persist through the winter.

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