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By Donald Lambro
Growth spikes are little more than trend-free anomalies
Independent voices from the The Washington Times Communities
Topic - Graham T. Allison
Albert Einstein's historic August 1939 letter to President Franklin D. Roosevelt warned that Nazi Germany was likely to exploit scientific discoveries that could initiate "a nuclear chain reaction in a large mass of uranium, by which vast amounts of power" would be generated.
In the course of our conversation, Richard Nixon singled out the then-relatively obscure ruler of a tiny city-state: Singapore's Lee Kuan Yew. Heaven only knows, Nixon reflected, what massive accomplishments Lee might have managed if he had led a major power.
North Korea's nuclear test last month wasn't just a show of defiance and national pride; it also serves as advertising. The target audience, analysts say, is anyone in the world looking to buy nuclear material.
The world stood at the brink of Armageddon for 13 days in October 1962, when President John F. Kennedy drew a symbolic line in the Atlantic and warned of dire consequences if Soviet Premier Nikita Khrushchev dared to cross it.
The recent replacements of President Obama's White House chief of staff and national security adviser have given rise to the usual speculation about who calls the shots in the inner circle. This happens with predictable frequency in American public life and nearly everywhere else. Palace politics have been around for as long as there have been palaces.
Hearts are fluttering once again among the disarmament folks over renewed hopes North Korea will finally take the first step toward giving up the nuclear ambitions of its leader, Kim Jong-il.
"The storyline is a lot easier that Kennedy stood steely-resolved, faced Khrushchev down and that's it," said Mr. Allison, a professor at Harvard University's John F. Kennedy School of Government and former senior defense adviser to several Democratic and Republican administrations. "If you hang tough enough, the other guy will eventually yield — that is actually the lesson that became part of the popular mythology."
"Take Iran, which I have called a Cuban Missile Crisis in slow motion," said Graham Allison, author of the groundbreaking study of governmental decision-making, "Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis."