"While the candidates are nearly tied upstate, Clinton has a 12-point lead in the downstate suburbs and an overwhelming 46-point lead in New York City," Mr. Greenberg said. "Her favorability rating may be underwater by 5 points, but it's far better than his, which is underwater by 41 points."
"As they're paying attention, what do they see? They don't see Giuliani competing in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina," Mr. Greenberg said. "They see when the results come in he's competing with Ron Paul to finish fourth, fifth, sixth."