Optimal Turner

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This has been said before.

After Maryland’s rout of Wake Forest yesterday, it will now be said again.

For whatever reason, Chris Turner produces better games against ranked teams than anyone else.

It really is an amazing trend, and the Maryland junior was at it again yesterday. Turner was 28-for-41 for 321 yards and a touchdown as the Terps torched a Wake Forest team that ranked first nationally in pass efficiency defense.

Here’s a look at the split between ranked opponents and unranked opponents, while giving Turner credit for last year’s victory at Rutgers since he did lead a second-half comeback:

CategoryRankedUnranked
Completions94167
Attempts137282
Yards11352125
Touchdowns77
Interceptions013
Rating155.07121.49
Record5-03-7

Really, it’s an extraordinary split.

Now, here’s another way to look at it – Turner’s passer rating in each of his 15 career games when he played at least a half:

226.86: California, 2008 (W, 35-27)
219.29: Boston College, 2007 (W, 42-35)
202.24: Georgia Tech, 2007 (W, 28-26)
153.95: Eastern Michigan, 2008 (W, 51-24)
151.27: at N.C. State, 2007 (W, 37-0)
142.11: Wake Forest, 2008 (W, 26-0)
132.58: at Rutgers, 2007 (W, 34-24)
126.97: vs. Oregon State, 2007 (L, 21-14)
117.59: at Florida State, 2007 (L, 24-16)
114.84: Virginia, 2007 (L, 18-17)
113.64: Clemson, 2007 (L, 30-17)
112.49: at Clemson, 2008 (W, 20-17)
108.04: at Virginia, 2008 (L, 31-0)
98.89: at Middle Tennessee, 2008 (L, 24-14)
98.77: at North Carolina, 2007 (L, 16-13)

That’s a treasure trove of data right there.

Needless to say, Maryland has needed Turner to play well in order to win. And in order for Turner to play well, facing a ranked opponent sure hasn’t hurt.

Patrick Stevens

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