The Democratic leaning Public Policy Polling group released numbers on Sunday night on New York’s 9th Congressional District special election between Republican businessman Bob Turner and Democratic Assemblyman David Weprin.
According to their polling, Turner is “poised to pull a huge upset” for the seat that former Democratic Congressman Anthony Weiner held until recently. Like the Siena College poll, PPP puts Turner ahead of Weprin by six points. Turner also has a higher favorable rating than Weprin does by that same percentage.
PPP points out that Turner is leading in the Democratic district, because independents, those not affiliated with either major party, are supporting him over Weprin by 32 points. Also, the PPP poll shows that Turner has 29 percent of the Democratic vote, “holding Weprin under 60% with voters of his own party, while losing just 10% of Republican partisans. If Turner wins on Tuesday it will be largely due to the incredible unpopularity of Barack Obama dragging his party down in the district.”
Obama won 55 percent of that district in 2008 but only has a 31 percent approval rating there today and 56 percent disapprove of him, PPP shows. In a hypothetical match up, Mitt Romney would lead Obama in that district by 4 points, while Texas Governor Rick Perry would trail the president by only one point, PPP’s numbers show.
This data goes along with Democrats who have been telling voters over the past few days not to blame President Barack Obama’s problems on David Weprin.
“If you want to send a message to Obama, call the White House,” said Rep. Carolyn Maloney, New York Democrat. “If you want a great congressman that will fight for the district, vote for Weprin.” National Journal reported on Saturday.
Weprin has tried to distance himself from Obama, knowing very well the president is no longer as well-liked in the district. “I’m running myself right now,” Assemblyman Weprin told the New York Post. “On September 14, I’ll be happy to address the president’s election.” Weprin later told JewishJournal.com not to “read anything into” that quote.
New York’s 9th CD residents go to the polls on Tuesday.