- The Washington Times - Monday, May 7, 2001

Everyone knows the story about the frog. Drop him into a pot of boiling water and he will jump right out again, relatively unscathed. But put the same frog into a pot of cool water and slowly turn up the heat, and he will soon find himself cooked.

The purpose of this story is to show how bad things that happen slowly can lead people to accept conditions they would never tolerate if imposed quickly. A good example would be the steady growth of taxation, which today is far higher than anyone imagined when the income tax was imposed in 1913.

But the reverse can also be true. Sometimes good things happen slowly, too. The result is that people are unaware of just how much their lives have improved in key ways. It is important to remind them of this from time to time, so we do not become unduly concerned when things temporarily go the wrong way. Focusing too much on small negative movements, while ignoring the larger positive trend, can lead to the adoption of policies that may do more harm than good in the long run.

A good example of this is the concern many people have today about the cost of prescription drugs. The long-term trend has been for the cost of such drugs to fall, and for better drugs to replace inferior ones, improving the lives of millions. But excessive attention on high prices for a few new drugs has led to calls for price controls.

Such regulations may provide a bit of short-term relief for a few people, but the long-term cost would be disastrous. It would stifle research and development in the drug industry, because companies will not be able to make enough profit to justify the risk of bringing new drugs to market. The result will be pain and suffering by many people who might otherwise have been relieved by drugs that, instead, go undiscovered.

Another example is the steady improvement in working conditions, which is the subject of a new report from the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.

The report notes that not too long ago, working conditions for most workers were little short of horrendous. It cites a 1920 book, “Working Conditions, Wages and Profits,” which describes the typical factory worker as routinely suffering from injury, fatigue, strain, excessive temperatures, high humidity, poor ventilation, inadequate sanitation, disease, hazardous chemicals, long hours, rigid schedules, boredom and lack of toilet facilities.

Such a description harkens back to early days of the Industrial Revolution, when children stood for 10 or more hours a day, six or even seven days a week, working in textile mills. Apparently, things weren't a whole lot better 100 years later.

But the same cannot be said today. Working conditions have improved enormously for virtually all workers. Instead of laboring in dirty factories, doing arduous and even dangerous work, most workers today sit in air conditioned offices, working with their brains instead of their brawn.

As recently as the 1950s, 41 percent of all workers worked at manual occupations — factory workers, laborers and craftsman. These are the types of jobs where workers are most likely to suffer from repetitive motion injuries. Today, just 25 percent of workers are in such jobs. And among manual workers, those with the greatest incidence of repetitive motion injuries — operators and fabricators — have fallen from 27 percent of employment to just 14 percent.

By contrast, there has been sharp growth in white-collar jobs, where workplace injuries are far less common. Such jobs have risen from 27 percent of total employment in 1950 to 60 percent today.

The trend toward fewer employees working in dangerous jobs and more working in those that are safe is likely to continue as the New Economy of computers and the Internet grows. The result will be further improvement in workplace safety. As the Dallas Fed report puts it: “There's less risk of injury while pushing ideas around in the information economy. Workers are more likely to get hurt while engaged in the tasks of the Old Economy — lifting, cutting, drilling, digging, grinding and handling dangerous materials.”

It is not just that workers are moving from dangerous jobs to safer ones. Even those who continue to work in dangerous occupations have seen substantial increases in safety. The injury rate in manufacturing has fallen from 153 per thousand in 1973 to 80 in 1999, and from 198 to 84 in construction. And in those industries that were already relatively safe, the safety rate has generally gotten better still. For example, the injury rate among those in finance, insurance and real estate fell from 24 per thousand to 16 between 1973 and 1999.

Declining injury rates, of course, are just one measure of the improvement in the workplace environment. The Dallas Fed report cites data showing a decline in stress in almost every industry except mining since 1993. It also notes that increasing numbers of workers now have flexible job schedules and are no longer confined to a rigid 9-to-5 workdays. Telecommuting is increasingly available, so that many workers never even have to leave their homes.

Within the workplace itself, the overall work environment continues to improve. Casual dress is now the norm in many businesses, which improves comfort and saves money for many workers that would otherwise be spent on suits, ties and pantyhose. Companies are also improving benefits and workplace amenities, such as day care. They do so not out of the goodness of their hearts, but because they cannot recruit and retain good workers without them.

The report concludes that the vast improvement in working conditions has been brought about not because of unions or government regulations, but because the market demanded it and made it possible. Yet the market receives no credit and continues to be blamed for workplace stress and injuries, despite the massive improvement it has brought about.

Commenting on earlier critics of the Industrial Revolution, the great historian Thomas Babington Macaulay said this is human nature. The better conditions get, he said, the more loudly people bewail the suffering that remains, however little it may be.


Chart data: Work-Related Deaths
YearDeaths Per 1 Million
1937431
1938380
1939356
1940376
1941374
1942350
1943335
1944309
1945329
1946315
1947310
1948286
1949272
1950275
1951279
1952260
1953258
1954243
1955239
1956234
1957232
1958222
1959225
1960214
1961209
1962210
1963215
1964210
1965202
1966200
1967190
1968186
1969181
1970178
1971175
1972172
1973170
1974157
1975153
1976142
1977141
1978137
1979132
1980134
1981125
1982120
1983117
1984110
1985108
1986102
1987101
198896
198993
199087
199184
199242
199342
199443
199540
199640
199739
199838
199938
Source: National Safety Council
Note: The Dallas Fed report is available at https://www.dallasfed.org/htm/pubs/annual/arpt00.html



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