- The Washington Times - Monday, September 27, 2004


Sales of new homes rose by 9.4 percent in August, the Commerce Department said yesterday, as mortgage interest rates remained at low enough levels to continue enticing buyers worried about future rate increases.

New-home sales climbed to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.18 million homes, up from a revised 1.08 million sales pace in July.

The increase was the largest since December 2000, when new-home sales jumped by 11.7 percent. In July, new-home sales fell by 7.3 percent.

In August, the average sale price for a new home was $267,000. Buyers had plenty of inventory to choose from, with 404,000 new homes for sale at the end of August, the most since October 1979.

The West and South were the most robust markets for new-home sales, posting increases of 19.5 percent and 12.6 percent, respectively. Sales in the Northeast rose by 6.1 percent, but dropped by 8.3 percent in the Midwest.

Economists expect some volatility in sales in the Southeast because of the hurricanes that have battered Florida and the East Coast.

But overall, “housing demand should hold up quite well,” said Steve Stanley, chief economist at RBS Greenwich Capital in Greenwich, Conn. “We look for employment and income growth to pick up in the coming months, providing additional support.”

Mortgage rates across the country dropped last week, with 30-year mortgages sinking to their lowest level in five months. Rates have slowly drifted downward as economic activity cooled in the late spring and early summer and inflation fears receded.

The report showed that consumers were still willing to make big purchases despite the summer slowdown of the economy and concerns about a weak jobs market. Low mortgage rates helped to spur sales.

Mortgages rates have remained restrained even as the Federal Reserve has raised a key short-term interest rate. Last week the Fed bumped up the target for its federal funds rate to 1.75 percent, marking the third rate increase since June.

Economists predict that low mortgage rates will guarantee that the housing industry will continue at a robust pace, both in new housing construction and overall home sales.

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