- The Washington Times - Sunday, February 24, 2008


Perhaps the most amazing fact about Barack Obama’s 58-41 rout of Hillary Clinton in the hotly contested Wisconsin primary is the realization that his 17-percentage-point victory margin in the Badger State was actually the lowest spread he has achieved in the 10 consecutive caucus and primary victories he has claimed since Tsunami Tuesday. The drubbings Mr. Obama has been administering to the former first lady, (who as recently as Dec. 9 led Mr. Obama 53-23 among likely Democratic primary and caucus voters, according to the ABC News/Washington Post poll) have been breathtaking. Since Tsunami Tuesday (Feb. 5), his caucus triumphs have included Hawaii (74-26), Washington state (68-31), Nebraska (68-32) and Maine (59-40). Besides Wisconsin, his primary victories have included Louisiana (57-36), the District of Columbia (75-24), Maryland (60-37) and Virginia (64-35).

Mr. Obama has made striking advances in recent days among voting blocs that made up Mrs. Clinton’s once-formidable coalition. Those cohorts include women, high school graduates, union members, households earning less than $50,000 per year, voters without college degrees, white Democrats and white women. Mrs. Clinton achieved her 39-37 victory in New Hampshire by virtue of her 12-point margin (46-34) among women (57 percent of primary voters), her 15-point margin among voters living in households earning less than $50,000 (32 percent of primary voters); and her 8-point margin (43-35) among the 46 percent of voters who had no college degree.

Mrs. Clinton won big victories on Tsunami Tuesday in Massachusetts (56-41) and California (53-43) by racking up large margins among voters in households earning less than $50,000 (60-36 in Massachusetts and 59-35 in California), high- school graduates (67-26 in Massachusetts and 60-32 in California), women (62-36 in Massachusetts and 59-36 in California), white women (65-34 in Massachusetts and 56-36 in California) and union members (59-35 in Massachusetts and 53-41 in California).

Then the bottom of Mrs. Clinton’s coalition sprung a big leak in Maryland and Virginia on Potomac Tuesday (Feb. 12), and her once-formidable ship of state was on the verge of sinking after Wisconsin’s Feb. 19 primary. In Virginia, Mr. Obama defeated Mrs. Clinton among women (60-39), high school graduates (62-37), voters in households earning less than $50,000 (62-36), union members (60-38) and voters without a college degree (63-37). He beat her 52-47 among white Virginia voters; stunningly, he crushed her among white men (58-40) and narrowly lost among white women (47-53).

Mr. Obama’s performance within these blocs in Wisconsin proved that Virginia was no fluke. In Wisconsin, he won a 9-point majority among whites (54-45), including a 29-point victory (63-34) among white men. Mrs. Clinton’s Tsunami Tuesday margins among white women in Missouri (21 points), California (20 points) and Massachusetts (31 points) collapsed to 5 points in Wisconsin. Mr. Obaman tied her (50-50) among all women. Mr. Obama won the union vote (51-45) in Wisconsin after losing it by 11 points in New Hampshire, 23 points in Missouri, 12 points in California and 24 points in Massachusetts. In Wisconsin, Mr. Obama prevailed by 13 points (56-43) among voters without a college degree. After beginning the primaries by losing the high-school graduate vote by 15 points (46-31) in New Hampshire, he won it in Wisconsin by 4 points (51-47).

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