- The Washington Times - Monday, February 23, 2009

TIRASPOL, Moldova | Retired postal worker Maria Kozyrenko is a new citizen of Russia - along with 135,000 others in Trans-Dniester alone.

Ms. Kozyrenko hasn’t lived in Russia since the Soviet era. but she acquired her passport two years ago as part of the Kremlin’s push to grant citizenship to hundreds of thousands of ethnic Russians living in former Soviet countries, including Georgia, Moldova, Estonia and Ukraine.

“All our hopes are with Russia,” Ms. Kozyrenko said as she hawked an old black coat at a flea market in Tiraspol, the capital of Trans-Dniester. “We hope that Russia will protect us.”

Russia has given passports to nearly 2.9 million former Soviet citizens since 2000, according to the Federal Migration Service. It does not break down the numbers between those who have returned to Russia and those who still live abroad.

Some fear Moscow will use its growing expatriate communities to meddle in the domestic politics of countries near its borders or - as in the case of Georgia - as a reason for military intervention. But the Kremlin says it is granting passports to Russians abroad for humanitarian rather than political reasons, to help Russians trapped in other countries after the breakup of the Soviet Union.

Spokesman Alexei Sazonov pointed out that Western countries, such as Belgium, have conducted similar campaigns.

“We have a nonconfrontational foreign policy - we don’t need any conflicts,” Mr. Sazonov said. “At the same time to defend the rights of compatriots is a right countries have.”

The creation of communities of Russian citizens is already undermining Ukraine’s entry into NATO and weakening Moldova as it looks to Europe. It also lets the West know that Russia is a force of reckoning in what it considers its sphere of influence.

“This is a warning, a serious reminder, that there are grounds for concern for those who don’t recognize Russia’s interests,” said Masha Lipman, an analyst with the Carnegie Moscow Center.

For example, in recent years, the Kremlin has handed out tens of thousands of passports in the breakaway Georgian regions of South Ossetia and Abkhazia. It then in part justified its military incursion into Georgia last year by saying it was protecting Russians living abroad. Now, both South Ossetia and Abkhazia have strengthened political, economic and military ties with Moscow.

Similarly, the Kremlin subsidizes Moldova’s separatist province of Trans-Dniester with cheap gas, funds pro-Russian youth movements and pays poor pensioners a monthly $10 addition to their pensions of $60 to $70.

“For Trans-Dniester, Russia is like the closest and dearest person - it’s like our motherland,” said Alyona Arshinova, 23, a new Russian citizen and activist with a youth group sponsored by pro-Kremlin lawmakers in Russia. Posters of Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin adorn her college dormitory room.

About a fourth of Trans-Dniester’s 550,000 people already have received Russian citizenship. Trans-Dniester leader Igor Smirnov, who has ruled this sliver of land since 1991, makes no secret that he wants the region to become part of Russia, even though the two don’t share a border.

Another flash point is Estonia, a tiny Baltic nation of 1.3 million that prides itself on its tech-savvy population and Scandinavian efficiency. The Russian Embassy in the capital of Tallinn said about 3,700 passports were issued in the 12 months before Oct. 30 - more than three times the number during the same period in 2007.

This is partly because Estonia, a member of the European Union and NATO, has made clear that it’s nervous about its large ethnic Russian population. Denied automatic citizenship after Estonia’s independence in 1991, many of these Russians are so-called “noncitizens” who must pass a language exam before receiving Estonian passports.

A lot don’t bother, because of the time and expense of studying the grammatically complex Estonian language. For them, a Russian passport is just as enticing, if not more so. Immigration numbers show more than 96,200 Russian citizens and 111,700 noncitizens living in Estonia.

Residents of Narva, a predominantly ethnic Russian city in northeastern Estonia, said that if they hold a Russian passport and an Estonian noncitizen’s passport, they can travel from Lisbon, Portugal, to Vladivostok without a visa.

“I finally made up my mind - I’m going to get Russian citizenship,” said Vitaly Shkola, 47, an Estonian noncitizen. Russians with Estonian passports are considered “second-class citizens,” he said.

For some, the choice of citizenship boils down to economics. Vasily Kaidalov, 21, applied for a Russian passport because he can earn more working in Russia than in his destitute hometown.

In Ukraine, a country of 46 million people the size of France, officials claim Russia is rapidly distributing passports in the Crimean peninsula, the location of a major Russian naval base. The Crimea was long a jewel in the Russian imperial crown, but was given to Ukraine by Nikita Khrushchev in the 1950s. Many influential Russian politicians, such as Moscow Mayor Yuri Luzhkov, think Mr. Khrushchev’s decision was illegal and Russia is duty-bound to repossess Crimea.

Mustafa Dzhemilev, a member of Ukraine’s parliament from the Crimean peninsula, estimated that about 200,000 people - or nearly every 10th resident - has dual Russian-Ukrainian citizenship, although it is prohibited by law.

In Ukraine, Russia is “trying to do the same thing they did with Abkhazia and South Ossetia - establish legal grounds, at least in the Russian legal system, for intervention, whether that be economic, political or military,” said Peter Zeihan, vice president of analysis at Stratfor, an international intelligence and analysis company.

Many remain convinced that Russia’s true motive in handing out passports outside its borders has to do with politics and power.

“If there are some 200,000 Russian citizens living in Estonia, Russia will have the basis to intervene,” said Sergei Stepanov, an ethnic Russian resident of Narva and a noncitizen. “Who will stop them?”

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