- The Washington Times - Monday, August 22, 2016

Hillary Clinton has a narrow lead over Donald Trump in the battleground state of Ohio, according to a Monmouth University poll released Monday.

Mrs. Clinton had a four-point, 43 percent to 39 percent lead over Mr. Trump, with Libertarian Party presidential nominee Gary Johnson at 10 percent and Green Party nominee Jill Stein at less than 1 percent, according to the poll. The survey of 402 likely voters was conducted Thursday through Sunday.

“Ohio has been nip and tuck for nearly every presidential election since 1992. As of right now, it looks like that tradition will continue,” said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute.

The four-point lead for Mrs. Clinton was inside the survey’s margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percent. The margin is about in line with other recent polls on the state.

Eighty-eight percent of Democrats said they support Mrs. Clinton, while 83 percent of Republicans said they support Mr. Trump. Independents were split, with 35 percent going for both Mrs. Clinton and Mr. Trump and 20 percent opting for Mr. Johnson.



The survey showed Mrs. Clinton isn’t doing as well as President Obama did in 2012 among black, Hispanic, and Asian voters. She had a 72 percent to 10 percent lead over Mr. Trump among those voters, compared to Mr. Obama’s 84 percent to 14 percent edge over 2012 GOP nominee Mitt Romney.

But the poll also showed Mr. Trump lagging Mr. Romney’s performance among white voters in the state. He led Mrs. Clinton by an eight-point, 45 percent to 37 percent margin, compared to Mr. Romney’s 16-point, 57 percent to 41 percent edge over Mr. Obama.

Among white men, Mr. Trump had a 52 percent to 28 percent lead — comparable to Mr. Romney’s 62 percent to 36 percent advantage.

But Mrs. Clinton actually led Mr. Trump among white women by eight points, 46 percent to 38 percent, while Mr. Romney carried white women by about seven points, 53 percent to 46 percent.

Mr. Obama carried Ohio by about three points in 2012 and by about five points in 2008.

Mr. Trump is scheduled to campaign Monday in the state, which is key to his electoral strategy.

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