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Wednesday, November 17, 2004

Primitive party animals

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Since the 1976 presidential election, the Democrats have not received more than 50 percent of the popular vote. Most organisms, except for very primitive ones, usually modify their behavior after repeated failure in order to survive.

Much has been written about why the Democrats continue to fail in the polls. But as an economist, I have been particularly struck by how they have failed to learn sound economics, despite all the empirical economic and political evidence of what works and what doesn't.

Let's start with taxes. There is overwhelming evidence our present maximum tax rates on both labor and capital are so high they reduce economic growth, job creation and the general level of wellbeing for Americans.

Despite this, Democrat candidates from Walter Mondale to John Kerry keep proposing higher marginal tax rates on labor and capital. (Note: President Clinton was the exception. He said he would reduce tax rates but then turned around and increased them.) Higher tax rates are not only an economic loser but are also a political loser.

For many years, public opinion polls have shown most Americans do not want the rich to pay more in taxes. In fact, most Americans, including low-income Americans, say they do not think anyone should pay more than 20 percent of income in taxes. Polls also consistently show most Americans do not think we are undertaxed but think the government spends too much.

Most Americans dream of being rich by being entrepreneurs or winning the lottery, and they don't want it all taxed away. Democrats have let their left-wing ideology overwhelm the empirical evidence -- and then are surprised when they lose.

Politicians always have trouble with free trade. Most economists on both the left and right have understood free trade maximizes economic welfare by enabling consumers to get the best goods and services at the lowest prices.

Too many Republicans cater to some businesses that demand protection. Fortunately, most Republican politicians both understand and play homage to the principle of free trade, though they occasionally deviate from it in practice.

The Democrats, however, have allowed themselves to become hostage to union bosses who are most often protectionists. However, there are far more consumers who enjoy the low prices at the Wal-Marts and the like than there are bosses and workers who might temporarily benefit from protectionism.

For years, Democrats have believed political success can be achieved by promising ever more government spending on everything. Too many Republicans have also bought this line, but still are slightly less addicted to big government.

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