President enjoys reversal of fortune

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What a difference a month makes.

Just four weeks ago, President Bush was in free fall, racing toward lame-duck status faster -- and earlier -- than any modern president had and plummeting in the polls to a scant 29 percent approval rating. He also was reeling from dramatic missteps that sent his once loyal conservative base running for the hills.

But just as emboldened Democrats began to predict a landslide victory in this November's midterms, everything changed, as it often does inside the Beltway during an election year.

"We were a 100 feet down, running out of oxygen, couldn't see the surface -- didn't even know which way was up -- and it's like we pulled some kind of rip cord and suddenly floated to the top," said one former senior administration official. "Washington is a crazy place, isn't it?"

The president's last week, his best in more than a year, was aided by two events. After months of debate following elections in Iraq, the widely split political factions there finally came together to pick a leader, who last week completed his new government.

Then, U.S. forces killed Iraq's No. 1 terrorist, Abu Musab Zarqawi.

As if that weren't enough, the special counsel probing accusations that senior Bush adviser Karl Rove was involved in the leaking of a CIA operative's name to reporters announced last week that he was ruling out charges against the president's most-valuable political strategist. That followed the surprise win by a Republican in the June 6 special election to fill the San Diego congressional seat left vacant by former Rep. Randy "Duke" Cunningham's bribery conviction.

But the president last week decided to keep Iraq on the front pages by convening a meeting of his senior intelligence and military advisers at Camp David and then sneaking out of the presidential retreat for a secret trip to Baghdad. To make sure the press stayed on Iraq, he invited reporters to the Rose Garden to fire questions at him -- all but a few were on the war.

The gambit paid off. A USA Today-Gallup poll taken from June 9 to 11 found that 48 percent of Americans think the U.S. will probably or definitely win the Iraq war, up from 39 percent in April. The poll showed Mr. Bush's approval rating at 38 percent, up from 31 percent in May.

Even the disheartened conservative base is beginning to make its way back to the Bush camp. A Fox News poll last week found that 82 percent of Republicans approve of Mr. Bush's job performance, up from 71 percent last month and a low of 66 percent in April.