- The Washington Times - Monday, August 25, 2008

ANALYSIS/OPINION

As the Democrats open their convention today, it might not be politically correct to ask the question - were the Russians entirely wrong and Georgia entirely right in their conflict over South Ossetia?

In this context, it is also fair to ask whether the putative Republican presidential nominee, Sen. John McCain, was exercising good judgment when he immediately called Georgian President Mikhail Saakashvili to express his support for Georgia and to declare, apparently referring to all Americans, “We are all Georgians.”

Maybe it’s the contrarian in me: When virtually every Democratic and Republican leader from left to right and the entire Mainstream Media so quickly reach consensus on the same one-sided narrative - the “good little democracy Georgia” vs. the “bad Russian evil-empire invaders” - I instinctively say to myself, “Not so fast. What are the facts?”

Or as Paul Harvey famously put it, what about “the rest of the story?”

It wasn’t easy to find such contrarian facts. It took some effort - at least several days into the crisis and usually buried on the inside page far down in the stories. Here are a few facts I discovered that I hadn’t known from most of the early media coverage and political comments:

• Georgia, not Russia, initiated the first military actions on Aug. 7 by sending (according to the Wall Street Journal ) “much of its army up to the area of Tskhinvali, the capital of its pro-Russian South Ossetian province,” including tanks, armored personnel carriers, howitzers and other equipment.

• The State Department’s specialist on Georgia, Matthew J. Bryza (again according to the Journal) and many other officials warned Mr. Saakashvili many times over a period of months against military action that might provoke the Russians. But Mr. Saakashvili ignored the advice and “undeterred … ordered troops to take Tskhinvali, the Ossetian capital, and to knock out the bridge.”

• South Ossetians speak a different language from Georgians, have a different culture, have a government headed by a Russian, historically have been close to Russia and have sought separation from Georgia - similar to another “separatist” region of Georgia, Abkhazia.

• When the U.S. last spring recognized Kosovo’s secession from Serbia, despite Kosovo having been long recognized as part of Serbia and over the strong objections of Serbia and Russia, Serbia’s historic ally - Russian President Vladimir Putin - warned way back then that “Russia will feel entitled to do the same with South Ossetia and Georgia’s other breakaway enclave, Abkhazia,” according to the New York Times.

To my relief, people a lot more informed than I have begun to express doubts about the one-sided political-media narrative of the first few days. Noted author and columnist Thomas L. Friedman, with an analogy to the Olympics, awarded a “silver medal for recklessness” to Mr. Saakashvili for his unilateral decision to push his troops into South Ossetia.

Mikhail Gorbachev, the Nobel Prize-winning former Soviet leader most responsible for the unraveling of the Soviet Union and a hero of most Americans, went on U.S. national TV to warn against U.S. one-sidedness and anti-Russia bias in this Georgian crisis.

Ted Galen Carpenter, vice president for defense and foreign policy at the Cato Institute in Washington, worried about the overly quick U.S. pro-Georgia/anti-Russia response that could “jeopardize … Russian cooperation on a number of issues” - such as efforts to deter Iran from developing a nuclear bomb - “over a dispute that at most involves limited American interests.”

And James F. Collins, the last U.S. ambassador to the Soviet Union and now a director at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, told the New York Times: “It’s clear the policies we have pursued regarding missile defense and installations in Europe [and] regarding further expansion of NATO have created difficulties with Russia. It takes two to tango.”

I write this knowing that some will accuse me of being “soft on Russia,” even though I tend to agree with Mr. Friedman’s award of the “gold medal for stupidity” to Mr. Putin for his brutal use of military force rather than diplomacy.

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