O'HANLON: The 4 percent defense spending chimera

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By Michael O'Hanlon

COMMENTARY:

As U.S. armed forces continue their heroic operations around the globe, with 140,000 troops in Iraq, 30,000 in Afghanistan, several tens of thousands more in the broader Middle East, and nearly 100,000 in both Europe and East Asia, worries have intensified about sustaining adequate defense funding in the future.

A number of analysts, and now chairman of the Joint Chiefs Adm. Michael Mullen, have proposed that the Defense Department be legislatively guaranteed 4 percent of the nation's gross domestic product to ensure ample resources for the military into the future. Should this be an early priority of an Obama administration?

The answer is no. Any worries by an incoming Democratic administration that it needs to prove its national security mettle by conceding to this new idea from America's top military officer would be a mistake. While today's U.S. defense budgets are above 4 percent of GDP and likely stay that way for the foreseeable future - as they should - the Defense Department budget does not need to be treated effectively as another federal entitlement. In fact, the goal of those of us focused on national defense policy should be to reduce enough security problems around the world that we will be in a position to cut the defense budget down the road. Just because this option is not responsibly available today does not mean we should forswear it for the future.

To be sure, this country has downsized its military excessively in the past. After World War II, we demobilized to an extreme, and when the Korean War broke out 5 years later the underequipped Task Force Smith was all we could muster as North Korean forces raced through our weak defenses and nearly seized the whole peninsula in the war's opening months.

After Vietnam, our mistakes were less egregious, but a dispirited U.S. military was plagued by indiscipline and other problems among its personnel, aging weaponry, insufficient funds for training, and a general sense of going hollow, as Gen. Shy Meyer memorably declared. What assurances do we have now, Adm. Mullen might wonder, that the same thing will not happen again?

In fact, we have a number. Start with the fact that since the last two years of the Carter administration, and especially since the Reagan administration, we have not experienced anything like this kind of political tendency again. Yes, we downsized after the Cold War ended.

But real defense spending remained near Cold War averages even thereafter. Bill Clinton is often criticized for cutting defense spending too much, and perhaps he did at the margin, but the military of the 1990s remained among our most competent, experienced, and proficient of all time - as evidenced in the Kosovo air war and the overthrow of the Taliban just a few short months into the Bush administration, to name but two examples. Even those who do not agree with the tactics we used in these conflicts would be hard pressed to critique the underlying competence of the military.

Admittedly, we did not do as well in the post-invasion phase of the Iraq war, but that had less to do with the defense budget, more to do with the war plans as developed by former Secretary Donald Rumsfeld (and the Army's mistaken proclivity at that time to eschew counterinsurgency in its normal training of troops).

Throughout the Bush presidency, Congress has robustly funded the armed forces. In fact U.S.defense spending has nearly doubled this decade, and now amounts to nearly half the world's total. Congress' occasional thoughts about cutting funding for the Iraq war had everything to do with doubts about the prospects for turning that conflict around, nothing to do with a lack of underlying support for our nation's military.