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Polls looking up for GOP
Question of the Day
A Rasmussen Reports survey released Thursday showed that 45 percent of voters would choose their district’s Democratic candidate, while 37 percent would choose the Republican candidate.
The Democrats’ eight-point lead in the poll, conducted Sept. 7, is two points less than results of a similar poll from Aug. 31, on the eve of the Republican convention.
And a Diageo/Hotline survey taken Sept. 5 to 7 showed Democrats running for Congress with a nine-point lead over Republicans.
“If you look at the polls, we’re doing fine and will continue to do fine,” said Brendan Daley, a spokesman for House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, California Democrat. “If we have a seven- or eight-point lead in a generic poll on Election Day, we’ll be very pleased.”
Mr. Daley added that Democrats had only about a five-point advantage before the 2006 elections, when Democrats took control of the House for the first time in a 12 years.
David Wasserman, who follows House races for the Cook Political Report, said Friday that Democrats are “absolutely in the driver’s seat” for this year’s congressional races, with a large edge in polls on generic party preferences and an unprecedented money edge over Republicans to aid candidates.
House Democrats also scored impressive special-election victories earlier this year in previously long-held Republican districts in Illinois, Mississippi and Louisiana.
Because the Democrats had a net gain of 29 House seats just two years ago, “there’s only so many more seats that they can realistically gain this time,” Mr. Wasserman said.
“Right now, we predict a gain in the low to mid teens for Democrats in the House, but because of the money advantage, the Democrats are throwing all of their resources at GOP seats that look remotely vulnerable,” he said.
David R. Sands contributed to this report.
About the Author
Sean Lengell covers Congress and national politics and can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org.
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