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Home » News » Business

Saturday, June 27, 2009

Careful consumers worry investors

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  • Associated Press
Commerce Department data show that consumers are hanging on to their cash - a cautious practice that may be good for them, but bad for the overall economy.

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By Madlen Read ASSOCIATED PRESS

NEW YORK | Stocks trading ended mixed Friday after the Commerce Department reported that personal spending, incomes and savings all rose in May.

What troubled investors was that the savings rate soared to 6.9 percent, a 15-year high, while spending rose by a modest 0.3 percent.

The trend suggests consumers are being extremely careful with their money. That's good for the individual, but not great for the overall economy in the short term.

Phil Orlando, chief equity market strategist at Federated Investors, said he expects the savings rate to eventually reach 10 percent before it eases. It had been 5.6 percent in April.

Annual savings rates were below 1 percent from 2005 through 2007.

"If people ramp up savings that aggressively, that is going to result in less GDP recovery than ordinarily would be the case," Mr. Orlando said.

The gross domestic product dropped at an annual rate of 5.5 percent in the first quarter, the government reported earlier this week. As the first half of 2009 ends, investors are growing more anxious about whether the economy can bounce back later this year.

That uncertainty, bolstered by a mix of promising and worrisome data, has led to a choppy week in the stock market. After four straight days of losses, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rebounded by 2.1 percent Thursday. But traders appeared eager to take some profits from that jump ahead of the weekend, analysts said.

The Dow fell 34.01, or 0.4 percent, to 8,438.39. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index fell 1.36, or 0.2 percent, to 918.90. The Nasdaq Composite Index rose 8.68, or 0.5 percent, to 1,838.22.

For the week, the Dow lost 101 points, or 1.2 percent. The S&P fell 0.3 percent, and the Nasdaq rose 0.6 percent. The Dow is down 3.9 percent for the year, while the S&P and Nasdaq are up.

The University of Michigan reported a rise in consumer sentiment in June, better than the flat reading expected by analysts. But even that report could not trigger a rally.

The technology-dominated Nasdaq did better than the other major indexes, though, thanks in large part to Palm Inc. The smart-phone maker posted a narrower loss for its fiscal fourth quarter than analysts expected. The stock rose $2.20, or 15.7 percent, to $16.22.

Government bond prices edged higher. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, slipped to 3.53 percent from 3.54 percent late Thursday.

The Russell 2000 Index of smaller companies rose 4.04, or 0.8 percent, to 513.22.

Advancing stocks outnumbered declining stocks 3 to 2 on the New York Stock Exchange, where volume came to 2.3 billion, almost double the 1.2 billion logged Thursday. Volume was heavy because of the annual reconstitution of the Russell 3000 Index, which forced investors to buy and sell hundreds of stocks to match the new makeup of the indexes.

Crude oil fell $1.07 to settle at $69.16 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

The dollar was mixed against other major currencies. Gold prices rose.

Overseas, Britain's FTSE 100 fell 0.3 percent, Germany's DAX fell 0.5 percent and France's CAC-40 fell 1.1 percent. Japan's Nikkei rose 0.8 percent.

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