Evangelicals ponder Dobson's successor

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By Julia Duin

The long-expected resignation of Focus on the Family's James Dobson highlights an open secret among America's roughly 70 million evangelicals: There are no obvious successors to the group of evangelical leaders who created massive organizations or built up media empires in the 1980s and '90s.

Mr. Dobson, 72, who resigned last week as board chairman of one of the country's most influential evangelical organizations, is one of the last of a great generation of evangelical leaders.

Some have died: the Rev. Jerry Falwell, Moral Majority founder; theologian Carl F.H. Henry; Florida pastor D. James Kennedy; Campus Crusade for Christ founder Bill Bright; and Christian philosopher Francis Schaeffer, who founded L'Abri Fellowship.

Others have either retired or have passed on the bulk of their duties, such as the Rev. Billy Graham, 90; televangelist Pat Robertson, 78; author and activist Tim LaHaye, 83; and Prison Fellowship founder Chuck Colson, 77.

"It's a changing of the guard," said Brian McLaren, 52, cited in 2005 by Time magazine as one of the 25 most influential evangelicals in America.

"There is a possibility the religious right will collapse on itself. Or someone will articulate a new religious center. The evangelical community has been slowly diversifying, and there may not be a center anymore."

The Rev. Rick Warren, pastor of Saddleback Church in Lake Forest, Calif., and the man picked to deliver the invocation during the inauguration of President Obama, seems an obvious choice to fill the void.

"But I don't know if he is the guy," said John Whitehead, 62, founder of the Rutherford Institute in Charlottesville, who was an attorney for Mr. Schaeffer in the late 1970s and early 1980s. "He doesn't seem to be garnering a huge following, and he doesn't seem to want to be in the spotlight."

Evangelicals also lack a galvanizing issue these days, Mr. Whitehead said.

"It used to be the pro-life movement," he said, "but I am not sure there is an issue now. The issue evangelicals key on is the gay movement, but they have lost that issue. There is no cause for a leader to emerge in now."