It’s hardly a secret that Barack Obama, like every president no doubt, muses about his ultimate legacy and spot in the presidential pantheon. He approaches his second term confronting tough and shifting challenges that will play big roles in shaping the rest of his presidency and his eventual place in history.
In the coming months, Mr. Obama will have to decide where to be ambitious, where to be cautious, and where to buy time.
He draws political strength from his surprisingly easy re-election in a bad economy. It’s partly offset, however, by Republicans’ continued control of the House, plus their filibuster powers in the Senate.
Some of the big issues awaiting the president’s decisions are familiar, long-simmering problems. They include immigration and the need for a tenable balance between taxes, spending and borrowing.
Another issue, gun control, jumped to the national agenda’s top tier this month after the massacre of first-graders and teachers in a Connecticut school. And the issue of climate change remains unresolved.
Veteran politicians and presidential historians say it’s almost impossible for Mr. Obama to “go big” on all these issues. Indeed, it might prove difficult to go big on even one. While some counsel caution, others urge the president to be as bold and ambitious as possible.
“Americans are yearning for leadership,” said Gil Troy, a presidential scholar at McGill University.
Rather than let Congress take the lead on big issues, as it did in drafting the 2009 health care overhaul, Mr. Obama should be more forceful in pushing new legislation or using his executive powers to bypass Congress where possible, Mr. Troy said.
“The gun-control issue is a major opportunity for Obama to make his mark on history — and solve a problem that has frustrated Democrats for decades,” he added.
Other presidential historians, however, think Mr. Obama is severely constrained by political realities. They say he will have to carefully pick and choose which goals to emphasize in his second four years.
“I see Obama as almost uniquely handcuffed by circumstances,” said John Baick of Western New England University. The number of big, unresolved problems facing the nation, coupled with a deeply divided public and Congress, he said, leave Mr. Obama with fewer viable options than most presidents have enjoyed.
At best, Mr. Baick said, the U.S. government “is a gigantic cruise liner, and the most he can do is keep us from hitting icebergs.”
For instance, he said, “if he goes big on gun control, then it’s 1994 all over again.”
Then-President Clinton pushed an assault weapons ban through the Democrat-led Congress that year, prompting fierce pushback from gun-rights groups.
Mr. Clinton later would credit the NRA with shifting the House majority to the GOP for the first time in 40 years. However, other factors — including a House bank scandal — played big roles, too.
Paul Rego, a political scientist at Messiah College in Grantham, Penn., largely agrees with Mr. Baick.
“While President Obama does not face the same cataclysmic events that Abraham Lincoln faced, or that FDR encountered in the form of the Great Depression and World War II, his challenges are many and significant,” Mr. Rego said in an email.
He said Mr. Obama “faces a hurdle that neither Lincoln nor Roosevelt had to overcome during the tumultuous years of their respective presidencies: divided government.” Today’s Democrats and Republicans differ so sharply about government’s proper role, Mr. Rego said. He said that Mr. Obama’s job “is actually harder than that of his most illustrious predecessors.”