Sunday, April 25, 2004

SACRAMENTO, Calif.- It looks like California residents may escape a summer of rolling blackouts and enjoy a period of calm after the energy crisis that plunged millions of people into the dark and sent the state’s largest utility into bankruptcy.

That is not to say there aren’t energy concerns in the state. California needs to figure out how to reshape its energy market before two events come to pass near 2009 — the expiration of many of the long-term energy contracts that have kept rates stable, and the expected retirement of a large number of power plants.

In the meantime, Californians are forced to cope daily with electricity rates 20 percent higher than they paid before the 2000-01 crisis.

Randy Rowse, owner of the Paradise Cafe in Santa Barbara, said cutting back on labor costs and personnel is “one of the few things you can do” when rates are so high.

But he also has changed how he runs his business to lower energy use and costs. He bought more efficient refrigeration systems, cut his use of air conditioning and heat and “we use air pods instead of heating elements for coffee,” referring to the thermos-type containers.

“It saves a lot of energy, and it keeps the coffee from cooking.”

Such conservation measures give the Independent System Operator, manager of most of the state’s power grid, more flexibility in what is expected to be a summer with thin power reserves.

“We should be OK,” said ISO spokesman Gregg Fishman, adding that he is cautiously optimistic about the summer electricity outlook despite a Stage 1 power emergency last month, caused by high demand during unusually hot weather.

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A Stage 1 alert is called when the state’s power reserves fall below 7 percent. That allows grid managers to access emergency resources to maintain its operating reserves.

Millions of Californians reduced their electricity use during the 2000-01 crisis. Although the impact was hard to measure, Mr. Fishman said, many of those conservation measures continue today, contributing to energy security.

The crisis began in May 2000, when wholesale prices in the newly deregulated electricity market rose sharply because of a shortage of hydroelectric power, market manipulation by energy traders and a booming economy that demanded more power.

California’s utilities ran up huge debts because the deregulation scheme barred them from charging customers the true price of power. The unstable market also led to six days of rolling blackouts in 2001, the bankruptcy of Pacific Gas and Electric Co., and billions of dollars spent on power purchases.

Since the crisis, the Legislature has considered ways to restructure the state’s electricity market, but the budget crisis and other problems have pushed aside their plans.

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What is being debated now, said Doug Heller of the Foundation for Taxpayer and Consumer Rights, are bills that are “still driven by the idea that we should try to regain a deregulated marketplace.” They also contain elements of the flawed 1996 deregulation plan, such as the ability to let large electricity users shop around for their electricity.

So-called “direct access” is in the two major bills under consideration. One proposes a “hybrid” system — allowing large energy users to opt out of utility service for a competitive “direct access” market.

A competing bill also would allow direct access for large customers, but would put more restrictions on when they could jump between a utility and a competitor.

State lawmakers halted direct access, a cornerstone of the deregulation law, in September 2001 to stop customers from fleeing utilities for lower-priced competitors and leaving the remaining customers to repay the billions of dollars in energy debt in the form of higher rates for years.

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When it comes to building new power plants and finding other energy sources, the state needs to determine “who builds, who buys and for whom,” said PUC commissioner Loretta Lynch. “And to be smart about it, we need to determine it this year.”

The bulk of the long-term power contracts begin expiring around 2009 — which is around the time several California’s aging power plants are set to retire.

Although the state has made progress in building new power plants, adding about 10,000 new megawatts since 2001, Michael Peevey, a former utility executive and now president of the California Public Utilities Commission, said, “We need to do more.”

“That’s where we have to sort out what the market looks like in the future,” he said. “The uncertainty doesn’t serve anyone.”

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