Wednesday, April 7, 2004

NEW YORK (AP) — Investors lost a little more of their optimism about first-quarter earnings yesterday, sending stocks sliding on a disappointing profit report from Alcoa Inc. and a warning from Seagate Technology.

With many people away for the Passover and Easter holidays and no trading scheduled for Good Friday, volume was light, exaggerating some of the price moves. Investors who remained seemed chilled by the latest corporate news, and concerns about inflation, rising interest rates and fighting in Iraq added to the day’s weakness.

Despite the retreat on Alcoa’s announcement, analysts were upbeat about the market’s long-term prospects, particularly after the major indexes regained much of the ground lost in last month’s correction. Few attached great significance to the stock skid.

“I think you’re getting normal hesitation here before we attempt to attack the recovery highs,” said Steven Goldman, chief market strategist at Weeden & Co. in Greenwich, Conn. “We have a solid foundation, the economy is strong, profits are rising, interest rates are low. … I’d look at this market as a big tanker ship that is just taking some time to turn. One news item is not going to curtail that.”

The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 90.66, or 0.9 percent, to 10,480.15.

The broader gauges also were lower. The Nasdaq Composite Index lost 9.66, or 0.5 percent, to 2,050.24. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index declined 7.63, or 0.7 percent, to 1,140.53.

“What we need is a first-quarter earnings surprise to the upside, something that’s not already priced in … to push us higher,” said David Hegarty, head trader at Commerzbank Securities. “But in the meantime, we’re stuck in a range on the S&P.”

A downbeat profit outlook from Nokia pressured prices for a second straight session, doing little to help investors regain their confidence about first-quarter results. Still, companies within the S&P 500 are expected to report 17 percent earnings growth on average, according to Thomson Financial. Some anticipate an average rise of up to 20 percent.

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Another potential factor in the decline might be that investors are starting to consider the implications of Friday’s strong employment reading and the prospect of rising interest rates. Markets don’t absorb such changes with “computer speed,” said Tracy Herrick, chief investment strategist at Jefferies & Co.

Alcoa, the world’s largest aluminum producer, fell $1.85, or 5.1 percent, to $34.65 after it failed to meet Wall Street expectations with results released after the market closed Tuesday. The first Dow component to report earnings, Alcoa’s profits doubled in the first quarter, but missed analysts’ estimate by a penny a share.

Seagate shed 61 cents, or 3.9 percent, to $14.98, after dramatically cutting its quarterly earnings estimate on weakening demand.

Nokia, the world’s biggest cell-phone maker, lost 29 cents to $16.92 after investors filed a class-action suit Tuesday accusing the company of securities fraud related to its first-quarter forecast.

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