- The Washington Times - Monday, November 3, 2014

The final survey from the Democratic firm Public Policy Polling has GOP Rep. Cory Gardner leading incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Udall in Colorado by 3 points heading into Election Day.

Mr. Gardner leads Mr. Udall, 48 percent to 45 percent, among the full field of candidates in the race and 50 percent to 47 percent in a head-to-head match-up.

Colorado is emerging as a litmus test for Democrats’ vaunted ground game, which helped President Obama carry the state twice and that the party insists will push Mr. Udall across the finish line.

National Democrats, though, had hoped Colorado would never have been this competitive this late in the race, but a spirited challenge from Mr. Gardner, along with Mr. Obama’s sagging approval rating in the state and difficult political environment for Democrats nationally, has given the Republican an edge in most recent public polling.

Just 35 percent of likely voters approve of Mr. Obama’s job performance in the survey, compared to 58 percent who disapprove.

Fifty-one percent also disapprove of Mr. Udall’s job performance, while 38 percent approve. Forty-nine percent, meanwhile, view Mr. Gardner favorably and 39 percent have an unfavorable view of the challenger.

Mr. Udall leads among Hispanic voters, 64 percent to 35 percent, and among independents, 46 percent to 37 percent. But Mr. Gardner is ahead by 13 points, 53 percent to 40 percent, among white voters, and 15 percent of Democrats say they’ll cross over and voter for Mr. Gardner compared to 9 percent of Republicans who say they’re backing Mr. Udall.

The survey of 739 likely voters was taken from Nov. 1-2 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.6 percentage points.

Mr. Gardner is ahead by about four points in RealClearPolitics’ latest average of public polling on the race.

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