- The Washington Times - Monday, April 4, 2016

ANALYSIS/OPINION:

The Republican establishment is in complete denial.

Politico reported Monday morning:

“On the eve of the Wisconsin primaries, top Republicans are becoming increasingly vocal about their long-held belief that Speaker Paul Ryan will wind up as the nominee, perhaps on the fourth ballot at a chaotic Cleveland convention. One of the nation’s best-wired Republicans, with an enviable prediction record for this cycle, sees a 60 percent chance of a convention deadlock, and a 90 percent chance that delegates turn to Ryan — ergo, a 54 percent chance that Ryan, who’ll start the third week of July as chairman of the Republican National Convention, will end it as the nominee.”

This is on the heels of political operative Karl Rove saying a “fresh face” may be needed to repair the Republican Party, and reports that many conservatives in Wisconsin only endorsed Texas Sen. Ted Cruz with the goal of bringing about a contested convention.

Mr. Ryan, for his part, has said he doesn’t want the nomination, but — as Politico points out — that’s just political speak for, “Please, establishment, consider me!”

Mr. Trump and Mr. Cruz have won a combined 29 of the 34 Republican contests held to date, and when you add their percentages together, more people have voted for one of these men than against them. The thought that neither one would walk away with the Republican nomination in July is flabbergasting — but that’s exactly the scenario that the mainstream media and establishment class are preparing you for.

First, there’s been the demonization of Mr. Trump’s supporters. If you’re a Christian, have an education, or have any human decency, you could never vote for Trump, the elite media argues. As Joe Scarborough rightly argued in his Washington Post column this weekend: “Attacks against Trump have reached new heights, with commentators focusing their withering criticism on supporters, ignoring the fact that many of those same voters helped make Ronald Reagan president, Newt Gingrich speaker of the House and Marco Rubio a U.S. senator.”

Then there’s the Republican National Committee laying the groundwork. They’ve launched an educational posting on their website defining the rules of a contested convention and have done the rounds speaking to different conservative groups in Washington DC about what one would look like.

RNC Chairman Reince Priebus did the Sunday talk-show rounds warning candidates not to break their loyalty pledge to the party — something all three have done in so many words — saying if they did so, as much as $100 million in RNC support may be denied.

A report last week suggested the RNC and South Carolina state party could refuse Mr. Trump the delegates he won there if he breaks the pledge. The Party could decide at the convention to withhold Mr. Trump’s 50 South Carolina delegates, saying Mr. Trump broke their pledge.

If neither Mr. Cruz nor Mr. Trump secure the 1,237 delegates needed to win the nomination on the first-round ballot at the convention in July, it’s likely neither of them will walk away with the nod. It seems as if both understand the stakes — they’re scrambling to woo unbound delegates in North Dakota and Pennsylvania and elsewhere, and jockeying to fill state party conventions with their supporters.

Mr. Ryan is not the answer to solving the fractured Republican Party — listening to the American people is. The American people have voted, and right now, the only candidates that have garnered the excitement and support of the majority of the Republican voters is Mr. Trump or Mr. Cruz.

If neither walks away with the nomination in July, the party’s bound to implode. But that maybe exactly what the establishment wants. To them, these two “outsiders” are a nuclear-death option to the political power they’ve amassed being on the inside. They’d rather blow them up to preserve their own power than listen to the change the American public is crying for.


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