A new ABC News/Washington Post poll shows enthusiasm for Democrats in 2018 may not be as strong as originally thought.
The survey shows Democrats do lead 51 percent to 40 percent in the generic ballot test among registered voters, but among those who voted in the last midterm cycle and say they will vote again, Democrats lead 48 percent to 46 percent, in a near tie.
Although President Trump continues to face historic unpopularity, it does not seem to be motivating people to vote against his party in the upcoming midterms. Nearly as many Americans say they’ll vote to show their support for the president as those who say they’ll vote to show a message against him at 22 to 26 percent, respectively. Along partisan lines, 57 percent of Republicans say they’ll vote to support Mr. Trump while 46 percent of Democrats will vote to send a message against him.
Democrats also lead over Republicans when asked which party is concerned with “the needs of people like you” by 13 points overall, but among those who say they’ll vote in 2018, the lead shrinks to 3 points. When asked who better represents voters’ values, Republicans lead by a slim 3 points among likeliest voters in 2018, while Democrats lead by 9 points overall.
The survey was conducted via landlines and cell phones during Oct. 29 to Nov. 1 in both English and Spanish among 1,005 adults, inclining 884 registered voters. The margin of error overall is 3.5 percent and 4 percent among registered voters. The survey was conducted by Langer Research Associates with sampling and data tabulations by Abt Associates.
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