Toyota projects 1st ever operating loss for year

UPDATED:

NAGOYA, Japan (AP) — Toyota Motor Corp. slashed its earnings forecast again Monday, projecting that it would report its first operating loss ever for the fiscal year through March on waning global demand and a surging yen.

“The change that has hit the world economy is of a critical scale that comes once in a hundred years,” President Katsuaki Watanabe said at the company’s Nagoya office. The drop in vehicle sales over the last month was “far faster, wider and deeper than expected.”

Japan’s top automaker forecast an operating loss of 150 billion yen ($1.66 billion) for the fiscal year ending March 2009 — the first such loss since Toyota began reporting operating figures in 1941. Operating income reflects a company’s core business performance and does not include income taxes and certain other expenses. Last fiscal year, Toyota had an operating profit of 2.27 trillion yen.

Sinking sales in the U.S. in the wake of the financial crisis have dealt a heavy blow to Japanese automakers. But Watanabe said that emerging markets, which had held up in the beginning, were also slowing down now.

The surging yen has battered profits as well by eroding overseas earnings when converted back to yen. The dollar has fallen to 13-year lows of about 90 yen recently. Japan’s top automaker also lowered its net profit forecast to just 50 billion yen ($555 million) for the year through March 2009 — a tiny fraction of the 1.7 trillion yen it earned last year.

This is the second time Toyota — which makes the popular Camry sedan and Prius gas-electric hybrid — has reduced it annual earnings forecast this year. Initially, it had been projecting 1.25 trillion yen ($13.9 billion) in net profit for the year through March 2009, but last month it reduced that to 550 billion yen ($6.1 billion) before chopping it further Monday.

It also lowered the number of vehicles it expects to sell globally this calendar year to 8.96 million, down 4 percent from a year ago, Watanabe told reporters. Unlike previous years, he gave no goal for vehicle sales for 2009. He also gave no earnings forecast for the following fiscal year, ending March 2010, noting the company didn’t have a sales plan yet.

Tsuyoshi Mochimaru, auto analyst for Barclays Capital in Tokyo, said that Toyota will likely continue to struggle next year because U.S. auto sales won’t start recovering until toward the end of 2009, and the dollar may also lag.

“The problem is next year,” he said, while adding that the latest revisions were within expectations. “It’s unmistakable that things are extremely tough for Toyota.” In July, Toyota lowered its global vehicle sales target for 2008 to 9.5 million from the initial 9.85 million. Last year, it sold 9.37 million vehicles around the world.

Toyota also lowered its sales forecast for the fiscal year through March to 21.5 trillion yen ($239 billion), down about 18 percent from the previous fiscal year. It had earlier projected 23 trillion yen in sales.

Grabbing attention in recent years has been whether Toyota would dethrone Detroit-based General Motors Corp. as the world’s No. 1 in annual vehicles sales.

But the mood was pure gloom at the president’s annual year-end event.

Watanabe and other executives said production expansion plans and other investment will be on hold, including a new plant in the southern U.S. state of Mississippi and new vehicle plans in India, until the global market recovers.

Watanabe vowed Toyota would grow so lean it will be able to realize profitability even if its worldwide sales slide to as low as 7 million vehicles — what he called the basic “bottom line” for Toyota.

Story Continues →