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LAMBRO: Bad news for Obama in the mountains
Smarty-pants pundits are missing the deep damage
“In the five states where there was a named opponent, though, Obama’s share of the vote was 72.7 percent,” The Post said.
With all of the battleground state polls showing that the race between Mr. Obama and former Gov. Mitt Romney is tighter than a drum, the president cannot afford to lose 20 percent to 30 percent of his party’s base.
But that’s what may be shaping up now in key states as the economy continues to slow, the stock market is in decline and high unemployment rates remain frozen.
For example, in North Carolina, which is a tossup, more than 20 percent of the Democrats checked off the primary ballot line for “uncommitted” instead of voting for Mr. Obama.
Mr. Obama won the state in 2008 with a razor-thin 0.4 percent of the vote by promising to lift its economy out of a deep recession. But if he loses anywhere near 20 percent of his base there in November, it could cost him the election.
The political environment in North Carolina, where Democrats will hold their national nominating convention this summer, is looking bleaker than ever.
Its 9.4 percent unemployment rate is one of the worst in the country, and many Democrats there are going to voice their disapproval by voting against Mr. Obama.
Speaking of battleground states, perhaps no state is more pivotal to the outcome of this year’s election than Florida - and Mr. Obama is sinking fast there.
A Quinnipiac University poll there shows Mr. Romney leading Mr. Obama by 6 percentage points among registered voters. Mr. Obama was leading by 7 points in March and was in a dead heat with his rival last month.
Now, with 8.7 percent unemployment in the state and the housing industry in the basement, Mr. Obama’s support is shrinking fast. The poll found that Mr. Romney was seen as better able to handle the economy by 50 percent to 40 percent.
With a little more than five months to go before Election Day, the country’s mood and the economic and political trend lines are turning against the president.
“President Obama is running for re-election with Americans feeling about as dissatisfied with the country and the economy as they were in 1992 when George H.W. Bush lost,” the Gallup Poll said in an election analysis last week.
The title of the Gallup report: “National Mood a Drag on Obama’s Re-Election Prospects.”
Donald Lambro is a syndicated columnist and former chief political correspondent for The Washington Times.
© Copyright 2013 The Washington Times, LLC. Click here for reprint permission.
About the Author
By Donald Lambro
Growth spikes are little more than trend-free anomalies
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