Fifteen years ago, a graduate of Burke’s Lake Braddock High School named Adam Butler had a terrific spring training for the Atlanta Braves.
In eight spring games, Butler had an earned run average of 0.93 to earn a spot on the team’s 25-man roster to start the regular season.
In four April appearances in real games, Butler’s ERA was 33.75.
He was sent down to the Triple-A Richmond Braves. A very bright guy, Butler summed up his experience in simple terms. Part of the problem was he was going against guys like himself in the spring, minor leaguers playing in the big-league arena. When the games started to count, he was facing another level of hitter. A much better level.
Enjoy baseball’s exhibition season for what it is, a sign the real thing isn’t far away. Do not put too much stock in anything that actually happens on the field.
The Nationals open the Grapefruit League season Saturday against the New York Mets. It’s the first of 34 exhibition games before the real deal begins April 1 at home against the Miami Marlins.
Between now and then, a lot is going to happen on the field. Little of it is going to matter, beyond players getting into “game condition” for the season.
Someone everyone expects to have a huge season is going to struggle and people will be tempted to worry. Don’t. He’s probably working on something.
Someone no one expects to be a factor is going to have a strong spring and people are going to wonder, “Is there a spot?” Don’t. See Adam Butler.
The Nationals have come so far since 2007, when a single spot in the rotation was determined going into the spring. John Patterson held that honor — and ended up with a 1-5 record and 7.47 ERA during the regular season. Reliever Jon Rauch led that team in victories. With eight.
Every Nationals starter won at least 10 games last season. Four of them return and the team added Dan Haren through free agency. The only way another starter makes this team out of the spring is if someone gets hurt or traded (highly unlikely).
The eight position players are set. So is the bench. So is most of the bullpen.
So what can you watch during the spring, other than people playing their way into shape?
Watch Bill Bray.