- Associated Press - Wednesday, March 19, 2014

FARGO, N.D. (AP) - Here are predictions for the NCAA Division I men’s and women’s basketball tournaments based on a probability model developed by faculty and students in the statistics department at North Dakota State University:

MEN

EAST REGION

First round

No. 1 Florida over No. 16 Albany. No. 9 Pittsburgh over No. 8 Colorado. No. 5 VCU over No. 12 Stephen F. Austin. No. 4 UCLA over No. 13 Tulsa. No. 6 Ohio State over No. 11 Dayton. No. 3 Syracuse over No. 14 Western Michigan. No. 7 New Mexico over No. 19 Stanford. No. 2 Kansas over No. 15 Eastern Kentucky.

Second round

Florida over Pittsburgh. VCU over UCLA. Ohio State over Syracuse. Kansas over New Mexico.

Third round

Florida over VCU. Kansas over Ohio State.

Regional championship

Florida over Kansas.

SOUTH REGION

First round

No. 1 Virginia over No. 16 Coastal Carolina. No. 8 Memphis over No. 9 George Washington. No. 5 Cincinnati over No. 12 Harvard. No. 4 Michigan State over No. 13 Delaware. No. 6 North Carolina over No. 11 Providence. No. 3 Iowa State over No. 14 NC Central. No. 7 Connecticut over No. 10 St. Joseph’s. No. 2 Villanova over No. 15 Milwaukee.

Second round

Virginia over Memphis. Michigan State over Cincinnati. Iowa State over North Carolina. Villanova over Connecticut.

Third round

Virginia over Michigan State. Villanova over Iowa State.

Regional championship

Virginia over Villanova.

WEST REGION

First round

No. 1 Arizona over No. 16 Weber State. No. 8 Gonzaga over No. 9 Oklahoma State. No. 5 Oklahoma over No. 12 North Dakota State. No. 4 San Diego State over No. 13 New Mexico State. No. 6 Baylor over No. 11 Nebraska. No. 3 Creighton over No. 14 Louisiana-Lafayette. No. 7 Oregon over No. 10 BYU. No. 2 Wisconsin vs. No. 10 American.

Second round

Arizona over Gonzaga. San Diego State over Oklahoma. Creighton over Baylor. Wisconsin over Oregon.

Third round

Arizona over San Diego State. Creighton over Wisconsin.

Regional championship

Arizona over Creighton.

MIDWEST REGION

First round

No. 1 Wichita State over No. 16 Cal Poly (projected). No. 8 Kentucky over No. 9 Kansas State. No. 5 Saint Louis over No. 12 NC State. No. 4 Louisville over No. 13 Manhattan. No. 11 Tennessee (projected) over No. 6 Massachusetts. No. 3 Duke over No. 14 Mercer. No. 7 Texas over No. 10 Arizona State. No. 2 Michigan over No. 16 Wofford.

Second round

Wichita State over Kentucky. Louisville over Saint Louis. Duke over Tennessee. Michigan over Texas.

Third round

Louisville over Wichita State. Duke over Michigan.

Regional championship

Louisville over Duke.

FINAL FOUR

Semifinals

Virginia over Florida. Arizona over Louisville.

Championship

Arizona over Virginia.

___

WOMEN

LINCOLN REGIONAL

First round

No. 1 Connecticut over No. 16 Prairie View A&M.; No. 8 Georgia over No. 9 Saint Joseph’s. No. 5 North Carolina State over No. 12 BYU. No. 4 Nebraska over No. 13 Fresno State. No. 6 Gonzaga over No. 11 James Madison. No. 3 Texas A&M; over No. 14 North Dakota. No. 7 DePaul over No. 10 Oklahoma. No. 2 Duke over No. 15 Winthrop.

Second round

Connecticut over Georgia. North Carolina State over Nebraska. Gonzaga over Texas A&M.; Duke over DePaul.

Third round

Connecticut over North Carolina State. Duke over Gonzaga.

Regional championship

Connecticut over Duke.

STANFORD REGIONAL

First round

No.1 South Carolina over No. 16 CSU Northridge. No. 9 Oregon State over No. 8 Middle Tennessee. No. 5 Michigan State over No. 12 Hampton. No. 4 North Carolina over No. 13 Tennessee-Martin. No. 6 Dayton over No. 11 Florida. No. 3 Penn State over No. 14 Wichita State. No. 7 Iowa State over No. 10 Florida State. No. 2 Stanford over No. 15 South Dakota.

Second round

South Carolina over Oregon State. North Carolina over Michigan State. Dayton over Penn State. Stanford over Iowa State.

Third round

North Carolina over South Carolina. Stanford over Dayton.

Regional championship

Stanford over North Carolina.

NOTRE DAME REGIONAL

First round

No. 1 Notre dame over No. 16 Robert Morris. No. 8 Vanderbilt over No. 9 Arizona State. No. 5 Oklahoma State over No. 12 FGCU. No. 4 Purdue over No. 13 Akron. No. 6 Syracuse over No. 11 Chattanooga. No. 3 Kentucky over No. 14 Wright State. No. 7 California over No. 10 Fordham. No. 2 Baylor over No. 15 Western Kentucky.

Second round

Notre Dame over Vanderbilt. Purdue over Oklahoma State. Kentucky over Syracuse. Baylor over California.

Third round

Notre Dame over Purdue. Baylor over Kentucky.

Regional championship

Notre Dame over Baylor.

LOUISVILLE REGIONAL

First round

No. 1 Tennessee over No. 16 Northwestern State. No. 8 St. John’s over No. 9 USC. No. 5 Texas over No. 12 Penn. No. 4 Maryland over No. 13 Army. No. 6 Iowa over No. 11 Marist. No. 3 Louisville over No. 14 Idaho. No. 7 LSU over No. 10 Georgia Tech. No. 2 West Virginia over No. 15 Albany.

Second round

Tennessee over St. John’s. Maryland over Texas. Iowa over Louisville. West Virginia over LSU.

Third round

Maryland over Tennessee. West Virginia over Iowa.

Regional championship

Maryland over West Virginia.

FINAL FOUR

Semifinals

Connecticut over Stanford. Notre Dame over Maryland.

Championship

Connecticut over Notre Dame.


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